Minn. Duluth
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1178 (#55) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1251 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1043 (#162) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.0 (#32) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.7 (#150) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.661 (#300) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.909 (#131) | NetEff +18.5 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#516) | NetEff -70.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.940 (#165) | AdjNet +23.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.947 (#165) | AdjNet +24.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.805 (#164) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 57.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.679 (#97) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.787 (#111) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.773 (#114) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1079 (#162) | RD 81 | GP 40 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Bethel (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Michigan Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Northern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Northern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myleigh Weers | - | 1 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 106 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 42.1 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 3.31 | 52.8 | 52.6 |
| Emma Miller | - | 15 | 37.6 | 19.9 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 18.8 | 9.4 | -84 | -3.7 | -15.6 | 39.0 | 26.0 | 87.1 | -2.4 | 48.3 | 43.4 |
| Myra Moorjani | - | 21 | 30.1 | 12.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 7.2 | 161 | 7.3 | 31.1 | 38.7 | 33.6 | 80.8 | 5.3 | 51.4 | 47.4 |
| Jordan Sears | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 57 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 68.5 | 57.1 |
| Lynnae Green | - | 1 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | -15 | -1.4 | -10.0 | 55.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.42 | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Claire Bjorge | - | 22 | 28.6 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 91 | 4.1 | 17.1 | 43.2 | 23.2 | 75.5 | 0.5 | 49.7 | 46.5 |
| Lexi Karge | - | 22 | 23.1 | 11.9 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 14 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 51.9 | 33.3 | 73.8 | 0.74 | 58.4 | 53.7 |
| Riley Jenkins | - | 15 | 33.2 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 9.6 | 7.1 | -53 | -2.3 | -10.0 | 41.0 | 35.0 | 81.4 | 0.35 | 53.4 | 48.3 |
| Rayna Klejeski | - | 15 | 29.3 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 10.8 | -10 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 48.7 | 53.8 | 83.6 | 3.13 | 59.8 | 51.7 |
| Anna Westby | - | 15 | 28.5 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 9.8 | 8.0 | -17 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 44.2 | 42.3 | 75.0 | 1.96 | 53.9 | 51.7 |
| Grace Counts | - | 22 | 18.1 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 58 | 2.6 | 22.9 | 47.1 | 40.0 | 85.7 | 0.5 | 57.7 | 55.4 |
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 1 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.67 | 28.8 | 23.1 |
| Saniya Simmons | - | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 82 | 4.6 | 22.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Maria Counts | - | 22 | 22.0 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 35 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 44.8 | 40.0 | 61.5 | 0.42 | 53.5 | 52.8 |
| Ashley Fritz | - | 22 | 21.4 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 84 | 3.7 | 31.3 | 40.2 | 29.3 | 56.7 | 1.08 | 48.8 | 47.1 |
| Vanessa Bickford | - | 22 | 31.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 33 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 41.3 | 29.4 | 86.7 | -0.75 | 51.0 | 48.2 |
| Gosia Byczkowska | - | 1 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 14.3 | 0 | -0.98 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Hope Dudycha | - | 15 | 21.8 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 2.7 | -65 | -2.8 | -18.6 | 35.4 | 44.1 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 49.6 | 46.9 |
| Karly Jusczak | - | 21 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 45 | 2.1 | 29.8 | 54.3 | 38.9 | 70.6 | 2.12 | 61.3 | 59.3 |
| Halle Winjum | - | 15 | 20.8 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 5.3 | -8 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 41.7 | 45.8 | 56.2 | 1.94 | 54.5 | 53.1 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 19.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 4.39 | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| Paige Horne | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 32 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Natalie Mikrot | - | 10 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | -28 | -1.6 | -18.2 | 52.4 | 58.8 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 77.7 | 76.2 |
| Lilly Radcliffe | - | 5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.5 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Reagan Krueger | - | 5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 1.2 | 15.0 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 40.0 | 32.4 |
| Lexi Karlen | - | 22 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 52 | 2.4 | 59.6 | 44.2 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 1.06 | 49.0 | 45.2 |
| Tayden Hanks | - | 14 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -75 | -3.4 | -62.7 | 48.0 | 33.3 | 62.5 | -3.75 | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| Emma Pierson | - | 12 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | -42 | -2.5 | -42.8 | 30.4 | 27.3 | 50.0 | -2.92 | 39.6 | 37.0 |
| Drew Johnston | - | 15 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 34 | 2.8 | 54.2 | 42.1 | 41.2 | 0 | 2.22 | 60.5 | 60.5 |
| Gabrielle Kirchner | - | 6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | -2 | -0.4 | -11.0 | 37.5 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 37.6 | 37.5 |
| Elayna Boe | - | 4 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 1.7 | 20.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 34.2 | 33.3 |
| Torie Neubauer | - | 9 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -37 | -4.6 | -67.8 | 20.0 | 27.3 | 100.0 | -3.43 | 34.6 | 30.0 |
| Brynlea Mahlen | - | 15 | 10.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -35 | -1.5 | -18.5 | 20.7 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 0.63 | 26.0 | 24.1 |
| Keagan McVicker | - | 3 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Taylor Dirkes | - | 9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -4 | -0.4 | -8.6 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Abigail Richter | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 138.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emma Rowan | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 62 | 3.3 | 26.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG