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Minn. Duluth

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Minn. Duluth
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#130) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1045 (#139) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +18.7 (#9) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.817 (#152) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More → 0.835 (#72) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.8 More → 0.961 (#65) AdjNet +27.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.0 More → 0.963 (#66) AdjNet +28.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.868 (#67) AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 64.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Southeastern Okla. W 115 - 81
2024-11-09 vs Okla. Baptist W 71 - 52
2024-11-17 vs Wis.-Parkside W 73 - 43
2024-11-22 vs Michigan Tech W 80 - 70
2024-11-23 vs Northern Mich. W 79 - 67
2024-11-26 @ Lake Superior St. L 49 - 53
2024-12-06 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 66 - 79
2024-12-07 @ Sioux Falls L 68 - 71
2024-12-13 vs Augustana (SD) W 70 - 61
2024-12-14 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 83 - 66
2024-12-18 vs Winona St. L 71 - 72
2024-12-21 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 89 - 93
2025-01-03 @ Northern St. W 83 - 72
2025-01-04 @ MSU Moorhead W 71 - 56
2025-01-11 vs St. Cloud St. W 66 - 58
2025-01-17 vs Bemidji St. W 75 - 59
2025-01-18 vs Minn.-Crookston W 107 - 67
2025-01-24 @ Mary W 70 - 52
2025-01-25 @ Minot St. L 68 - 75
2025-01-29 @ Winona St. L 78 - 86
2025-02-01 vs Concordia-St. Paul W 88 - 87
2025-02-05 vs Southwest Minn. St. W 63 - 44
2025-02-08 @ Augustana (SD) W 76 - 66
2025-02-11 vs Minnesota St. W 75 - 74
2025-02-14 vs MSU Moorhead L 67 - 68
2025-02-15 vs Northern St. W 83 - 52
2025-02-21 @ Minn.-Crookston W 76 - 66
2025-02-22 @ Bemidji St. W 87 - 55
2025-02-26 vs Augustana (SD) L 63 - 74

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Charlie Katona - 29 31.5 16.3 6.7 2.2 1.5 0.4 1.7 12.6 12.9 122 4.4 7.1 47.3 24.1 66.7 2.33 54.1 50.0
Joshua Brown - 29 27.8 11.7 5.2 2.1 0.5 0.5 2.0 9.6 8.4 84 3.0 5.3 47.3 31.9 62.9 2.76 53.8 51.3
Austin Andrews - 29 27.6 10.7 5.6 2.0 0.9 0.4 1.5 6.8 11.2 78 2.9 4.9 63.6 25.0 51.9 2.1 62.9 63.9
Jayden Johnson - 29 17.4 7.1 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.6 5.3 3.8 22 1.2 3.1 44.4 44.8 88.2 1.02 61.0 57.2
Caleb Siwek - 26 16.3 6.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.9 5.0 69 3.1 7.7 43.8 41.6 87.2 1.17 61.3 56.2
Kole Hanson - 29 18.7 6.7 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.2 5.0 4.3 -17 -0.7 -2.8 41.1 34.4 80.0 0.78 57.3 51.7
Nick Katona - 29 23.1 6.6 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.9 5.4 7.3 9 0.4 1.8 39.7 34.0 68.0 0.71 53.7 50.3
Matt Thompson - 28 21.0 6.3 3.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1 5.4 5.5 99 4.5 9.6 48.3 34.8 35.0 0.02 52.2 53.6
Noah Paulson - 29 10.0 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 2.1 4.0 17 0.7 10.3 50.8 41.7 79.3 -0.05 64.4 59.0
Manny Montgomery - 29 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 9 1.3 44.6 62.5 50.0 25.0 -0.91 67.6 71.9
Cole Lahti - 29 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 -60 -5.5 -93.5 50.0 40.0 66.7 -0.48 60.1 58.3
Owen Leach - 29 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 -2 -0.3 -16.5 14.3 0.0 75.0 -1.13 38.0 14.3
Karon Abdullah - 25 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0
Jackson Fowlkes - 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Daniel Molhoek - 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaden Morgan - 23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG