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Milwaukee Bucks

2026-2027 Team Stats (13 games)

106.2
PPG
120.2
Opp
-14.1
Margin
42.8%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
74.1%
FT%
44.7
RPG
24.8
APG
15.8
TO
100.2
Est. poss./game
106.9
Adj PPG
118.8
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 844 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +23 elo More โ†’ 775 (#30) HCA +23 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +27 elo More โ†’ 805 (#29) HCA +27 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More โ†’ -10.4 (#29) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ -10.6 (#30) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.221 (#30) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 106.9 | AdjD 118.8 More โ†’ 0.293 (#29) AdjO 106.9 | AdjD 118.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 106.4 | AdjD 117.8 More โ†’ 0.296 (#30) AdjO 106.4 | AdjD 117.8
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 13 More โ†’ 764 (#28) RD 119 | GP 13

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 @ Washington Wizards L 116 - 128
2026-10-23 vs Chicago Bulls L 125 - 132
2026-10-24 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 116 - 127
2026-10-26 vs Indiana Pacers W 110 - 102
2026-10-28 vs Houston Rockets L 100 - 132
2026-10-31 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 111 - 136
2026-11-02 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 100 - 112
2026-11-04 @ Boston Celtics L 102 - 109
2026-11-06 vs Toronto Raptors L 107 - 121
2026-11-08 vs Boston Celtics L 97 - 117
2026-11-10 @ New York Knicks L 85 - 117
2026-11-11 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 112 - 123
2026-11-13 @ Orlando Magic L 99 - 107
2026-11-15 vs Atlanta Hawks - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Miami Heat - Preview
2026-11-19 vs Portland Trail Blazers - Preview
2026-11-21 @ Philadelphia 76ers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Herro Tyler Herro G 12 31.3 21.6 4.1 4.3 0.9 0.2 2.1 16.7 12.4 -87 11 -7.9 -10.2 44.5 38.0 80.7 -0.73 57.5 53.2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Jaime Jaquez Jr. F 13 27.8 16.5 5.7 2.8 0.6 0.1 1.9 12.3 11.5 -84 12 -7.0 -10.1 48.1 44.1 76.1 -0.9 59.6 56.2
Kyle Kuzma Kyle Kuzma F 13 27.3 11.1 5.2 2.5 1.1 0.4 1.8 9.1 9.4 -96 12 -8.0 -11.9 44.9 30.8 58.1 -2.36 54.7 53.4
Ryan Rollins Ryan Rollins G 13 23.8 10.5 5.1 3.8 0.8 0.3 2.3 10.1 8.2 -39 12 -3.2 -5.6 38.9 34.4 70.0 -0.36 49.0 46.9
Brayden Burries Brayden Burries - 13 21.4 9.2 5.1 2.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 7.5 8.6 -94 12 -7.8 -14.5 41.8 25.0 72.2 -1.17 52.3 47.4
Kel'el Ware Kel'el Ware C 13 17.7 8.6 6.5 0.8 0.5 1.1 1.5 7.9 8.1 -78 12 -6.5 -14.7 40.8 22.9 80.0 -1.21 49.1 44.7
Nate Ament Nate Ament - 11 17.6 7.5 2.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.8 6.1 4.7 -70 10 -7.0 -16.4 46.3 38.7 60.0 -0.79 56.4 55.2
Myles Turner Myles Turner C 12 27.4 7.3 5.9 2.8 0.7 2.2 2.2 7.8 8.8 -79 11 -7.2 -10.6 35.1 29.3 83.3 -1.35 45.5 44.1
Kasparas Jakuฤionis Kasparas Jakuฤionis G 12 17.8 6.6 2.2 3.2 0.6 0.1 1.7 4.9 6.1 -107 12 -8.9 -20.1 40.7 23.3 85.7 -1.25 55.4 46.6
AJ Green AJ Green G 13 17.3 6.0 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 4.6 4.1 -97 12 -8.1 -17.9 43.3 42.6 100.0 -0.8 63.6 62.5
Ousmane Dieng Ousmane Dieng F 10 12.3 3.9 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 3.4 2.7 -35 9 -3.9 -11.9 41.2 35.0 66.7 -1.78 53.2 51.5
Gary Trent Jr. Gary Trent Jr. G 5 7.8 3.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.0 1.2 1 4 0.2 1.7 40.0 45.5 33.3 -2.14 55.1 56.7
Pete Nance Pete Nance F 1 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 12 1 12.0 114.3 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.42 52.1 50.0
Bogoljub Markovic Bogoljub Markovic F 3 4.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 -6 3 -2.0 -18.0 100.0 0 0 -0.32 100.0 100.0
Jericho Sims Jericho Sims C 8 9.1 0.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 -16 8 -2.0 -8.8 40.0 0.0 0 -1.24 40.0 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

906 located field-goal attempts in 10 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jaquez17% Herro29% Rollins44% Kuzma33% Jaquez29% Jaquez25% Green21% Rollins22% Herro23% Herro27%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ware20% Herro22% Rollins29% Turner31% Herro32% Burries15% Rollins18% Herro16% Turner20% Herro20%
Misses: who misses most here

Tyler HerroJaime Jaquez Jr.Ryan RollinsKyle KuzmaKel'el WareBrayden BurriesAJ GreenMyles Turner

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 175-272 64.3 350 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 17% (58 pts) Kel'el Ware 16% (56 pts) Kel'el Ware 20% (19 misses) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 18% (17 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 48-125 38.4 96 Tyler Herro 29% (28 pts) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19% (18 pts) Tyler Herro 22% (17 misses) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 21% (16 misses)
Mid-range left 9-30 30.0 18 Ryan Rollins 44% (8 pts) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 22% (4 pts) Ryan Rollins 29% (6 misses) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19% (4 misses)
Mid-range center 3-16 18.8 6 Kyle Kuzma 33% (2 pts) Ryan Rollins 33% (2 pts) Myles Turner 31% (4 misses) Tyler Herro 23% (3 misses)
Mid-range right 7-26 26.9 14 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 29% (4 pts) Myles Turner 29% (4 pts) Tyler Herro 32% (6 misses) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 21% (4 misses)
Left corner 3 20-59 33.9 60 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 25% (15 pts) Kyle Kuzma 20% (12 pts) Brayden Burries 15% (6 misses) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15% (6 misses)
Right corner 3 19-64 29.7 57 AJ Green 21% (12 pts) Jaime Jaquez Jr. 16% (9 pts) Ryan Rollins 18% (8 misses) AJ Green 16% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 40-128 31.2 120 Ryan Rollins 22% (27 pts) Tyler Herro 22% (27 pts) Tyler Herro 16% (14 misses) Ryan Rollins 15% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 center 31-85 36.5 93 Tyler Herro 23% (21 pts) AJ Green 19% (18 pts) Myles Turner 20% (11 misses) Tyler Herro 19% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 right 37-101 36.6 111 Tyler Herro 27% (30 pts) AJ Green 16% (18 pts) Tyler Herro 20% (13 misses) Myles Turner 14% (9 misses)