Millikin
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 924 (#375) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 956 (#299) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.1 (#143) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.562 (#428) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.135 (#345) | NetEff -14.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.843 (#244) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.849 (#243) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.695 (#242) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 62.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Rose-Hulman | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | UChicago | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Middlebury | L | 45 - 76 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Loras | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Knox | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | North Park | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | L | 47 - 60 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Albion | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Trine | L | 41 - 71 |
| 2025-01-01 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Carthage | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 48 - 58 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | North Park | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 60 - 80 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 52 - 83 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Carthage | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Carthage | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 62 - 89 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Brenneisen | - | 27 | 29.8 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 5.1 | -115 | -4.3 | -4.8 | 32.8 | 27.2 | 81.4 | -0.54 | 46.5 | 41.1 |
| Nikkel Johnson | - | 25 | 16.4 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | -34 | -1.1 | -1.5 | 52.5 | 0 | 64.6 | 0.36 | 56.0 | 52.5 |
| Matayia Tellis | - | 26 | 32.7 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 7.0 | -117 | -4.7 | -4.5 | 35.9 | 27.7 | 68.9 | -0.6 | 44.6 | 41.0 |
| Emily White | - | 27 | 27.2 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 6.9 | 6.4 | -84 | -3.1 | -4.0 | 39.6 | 36.0 | 69.1 | -0.18 | 50.4 | 46.8 |
| Kyleigh Block | - | 27 | 27.7 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 38.6 | 35.8 | 77.8 | - | 51.2 | 49.7 |
| Bella Dudley | - | 27 | 18.7 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 2.5 | -111 | -3.0 | -3.4 | 41.6 | 33.9 | 71.8 | -0.23 | 51.4 | 48.1 |
| Tatum Young | - | 26 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0.9 | -33 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 31.4 | 19.1 | 68.8 | 0.38 | 37.6 | 35.2 |
| Izzy Hay | - | 27 | 13.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.1 | -103 | -2.8 | -5.3 | 43.9 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.82 | 47.4 | 43.9 |
| Christina Rice | - | 27 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -42 | -1.8 | -5.0 | 54.8 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.01 | 53.7 | 54.8 |
| Nylaia Carter | - | 27 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -63 | -2.7 | -5.5 | 26.7 | 50.0 | 57.9 | -0.3 | 36.5 | 28.3 |
| Rachel Holthaus | - | 19 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | -18 | -0.9 | -1.6 | 30.0 | 14.3 | 80.0 | 0.1 | 38.3 | 32.5 |
| Maggie Schrage | - | 26 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Hannah Ermeling | - | 26 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -31 | -1.9 | -3.5 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 0 | 0.05 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Emily Clevidence | - | 16 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Trinity Wade | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -20 | -2.9 | -8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG