Millikin
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 924 (#375) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 956 (#299) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.9 (#59) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Beloit | W | 79 - 40 |
| 2023-11-14 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | Otterbein | W | 86 - 43 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | DePauw | W | 86 - 53 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2023-11-26 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 84 - 52 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 85 - 48 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 95 - 50 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 98 - 101 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Alma | W | 94 - 67 |
| 2023-12-20 | @ | Hope | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Carthage | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 86 - 47 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | North Park | W | 100 - 62 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Elmhurst | W | 93 - 80 |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 94 - 77 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | North Park | W | 110 - 91 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Carthage | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2024-02-20 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 98 - 74 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2024-03-01 | vs | Willamette | W | 91 - 83 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 65 - 89 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyce Knudsen | - | 29 | 32.1 | 26.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 15.9 | 15 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 52.8 | 39.3 | 83.9 | 0.02 | 61.1 | 57.8 |
| Bailey Coffman | - | 27 | 30.0 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 11.1 | 10.0 | 20 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 38.5 | 39.0 | 79.9 | 0.18 | 53.9 | 46.2 |
| Sophie Darden | - | 29 | 27.2 | 14.5 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 11.0 | 15.5 | 12 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 55.7 | 0 | 66.0 | 0.05 | 58.0 | 55.7 |
| Matayia Tellis | - | 29 | 21.1 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 18 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 48.9 | 29.0 | 77.1 | 0.1 | 56.0 | 52.3 |
| Christina Rice | - | 29 | 13.4 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 25 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 56.0 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.56 | 57.3 | 56.0 |
| Diavian Mehundrew | - | 20 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 18.8 | 57.7 | - | 54.2 | 52.3 |
| Emily Brenneisen | - | 29 | 19.3 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 33.3 | 37.0 | 64.3 | -0.06 | 47.5 | 46.2 |
| Kyleigh Block | - | 23 | 9.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 40.9 | 36.4 | 55.6 | - | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| Anna Blank | - | 29 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 32.8 | 76.2 | 0.25 | 44.3 | 39.9 |
| Emily White | - | 24 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 55.3 | 50.0 | 70.0 | -0.13 | 68.4 | 67.1 |
| Bella Dudley | - | 29 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 32.7 | 30.0 | 69.2 | 0.09 | 42.9 | 38.8 |
| Rachel Holthaus | - | 29 | 7.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 38.1 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 0.26 | 51.0 | 45.2 |
| Alana Terry | - | 29 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.11 | 65.2 | 60.0 |
| Payton Haley | - | 29 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0 | 55.6 | - | 63.5 | 63.6 |
| Gabbi Thomason | - | 27 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 27.3 | 100.0 | - | 50.5 | 45.8 |
| Jacquelin Anderson | - | 27 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Maddie Carroll | - | 27 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -32 | -4.0 | -6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.64 | 22.2 | 0.0 |
| Bre Carter | - | 11 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Izzy Hay | - | 10 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -48 | -4.8 | -7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarah Isif | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Izzy Lambert | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG