Millersville
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 919 (#304) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 938 (#256) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#175) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.523 (#351) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.804 (#120) | NetEff +10.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.429 (#433) | AdjNet -2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.439 (#432) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.475 (#428) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 63.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Point Park | W | 69 - 47 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 48 - 61 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 87 - 72 |
| 2024-11-18 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | California (PA) | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Catholic (PR) | W | 77 - 29 |
| 2024-11-27 | @ | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 76 - 38 |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Jefferson | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2024-12-15 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 87 - 44 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Clarion | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 47 - 55 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 87 - 45 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 51 - 73 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Shepherd | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Mansfield | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Kutztown | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 51 - 81 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | West Chester | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 61 - 29 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Kutztown | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Mansfield | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 47 - 54 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | West Chester | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Shepherd | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-03-03 | vs | West Chester | L | 56 - 64 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makiah Shaw | - | 31 | 22.8 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 9.4 | 6.4 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 82.9 | -0.17 | 56.1 | 50.0 |
| Kali March | - | 31 | 33.2 | 12.1 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 11.7 | 5.3 | 36 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 79.5 | 0.29 | 47.4 | 43.6 |
| Brenna Ortwein | - | 31 | 32.0 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 11.9 | 37 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 42.8 | 34.3 | 74.4 | 0.32 | 54.7 | 49.2 |
| Morgan Mahoney | - | 31 | 20.9 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 5.0 | -16 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 41.8 | 39.1 | 73.5 | -0.37 | 46.5 | 43.9 |
| Bryn Zentner | - | 31 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 6.9 | -8 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 45.9 | 0 | 69.6 | 0.12 | 50.9 | 45.9 |
| Rhyan Mitchell | - | 31 | 18.5 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 32 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 51.6 | 0.0 | 44.1 | 0.6 | 51.3 | 51.6 |
| Sophia Elstone | - | 31 | 24.9 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 18 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 35.9 | 16.7 | 65.2 | 0.11 | 39.8 | 37.6 |
| Aniya Eberhart | - | 27 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 36 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 39.0 | 23.1 | 52.2 | 0.45 | 44.1 | 41.5 |
| Kelly Cleaver | - | 29 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 3.3 | -15 | -0.5 | -1.0 | 56.9 | 0 | 45.5 | -0.23 | 56.4 | 56.9 |
| Jillian Crawford | - | 31 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 28.2 | 26.3 | 85.7 | 0.13 | 40.1 | 37.8 |
| Juliana Vinluan | - | 31 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 33.3 | 26.3 | 75.0 | 0.32 | 39.8 | 38.2 |
| Holly Gohl | - | 30 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -35 | -1.7 | -7.6 | 41.7 | 45.5 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 56.3 | 52.1 |
| Claire Watson | - | 29 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 27.8 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 34.4 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG