Millersville
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#161) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1086 (#93) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.9 (#117) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.732 (#196) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.795 (#82) | NetEff +12.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.761 (#259) | AdjNet +10.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.790 (#244) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.680 (#251) | AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 73.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Claflin | W | 89 - 70 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Point Park | W | 95 - 72 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | W | 79 - 50 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Jefferson | L | 98 - 102 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 84 - 69 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | California (PA) | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Dominican (NY) | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 90 - 92 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 96 - 72 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Clarion | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Indiana (PA) | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 98 - 79 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Shepherd | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Mansfield | W | 81 - 57 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Kutztown | W | 93 - 78 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 92 - 85 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | West Chester | W | 91 - 55 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 91 - 89 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 67 - 89 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Kutztown | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Mansfield | W | 105 - 72 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | West Chester | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Shepherd | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2025-03-03 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2025-03-05 | @ | West Chester | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Gannon | L | 0 - 87 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Whitehead, Jr. | - | 1 | 40.0 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 22 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 35.7 | 28.6 | 90.0 | 0.45 | 57.1 | 42.9 |
| Drew Stover | - | 30 | 31.0 | 17.2 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 16.6 | 29 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 66.0 | 18.8 | 65.2 | 0.56 | 67.7 | 66.5 |
| Saraj Ali | - | 28 | 29.1 | 14.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 12.9 | 29 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 60.6 | 19.2 | 68.5 | 0.7 | 64.5 | 61.6 |
| Aiden Gair | - | 30 | 32.5 | 14.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 12.4 | 6.6 | 103 | 4.0 | 11.3 | 40.2 | 38.5 | 78.2 | 0.94 | 55.0 | 52.8 |
| Jahme Ested | - | 28 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 10.1 | 10.3 | -40 | -1.8 | -5.9 | 44.2 | 34.2 | 84.0 | 0.21 | 53.8 | 48.9 |
| Kadyn Hannah | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -73 | -3.6 | -33.4 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.1 | 51.2 | 43.8 |
| Keith Palek III | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -17 | -3.4 | -17.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -0.29 | 54.3 | 42.9 |
| Montell Cooper | - | 22 | 25.5 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 9.1 | 21 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 51.2 | 28.6 | 67.5 | 0.56 | 55.8 | 53.6 |
| Aamir Hurst | - | 29 | 22.8 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 79 | 2.1 | 11.8 | 39.5 | 26.1 | 90.0 | 0.24 | 51.9 | 46.7 |
| Antoine Arnett | - | 1 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 57.1 | - | 44.1 | 33.3 |
| Alec Topper | - | 30 | 14.3 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 45 | 2.4 | 21.2 | 43.5 | 25.9 | 82.6 | 0.04 | 53.8 | 48.3 |
| Dalman Alexander | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -31 | -1.1 | -7.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.81 | 29.6 | 20.0 |
| Jordyn Buchanan | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 17 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Dante Weise | - | 29 | 15.3 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 15 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 39.5 | 31.2 | 73.3 | 0.03 | 50.4 | 45.3 |
| Tobi Ogunbare | - | 30 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | -15 | -0.9 | -17.2 | 25.9 | 0 | 55.0 | -0.31 | 34.9 | 25.9 |
| Terrence Cobb | - | 29 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -2 | -0.2 | -6.8 | 70.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.77 | 82.7 | 80.0 |
| Murray Grant | - | 28 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 10 | 0.8 | 57.3 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.98 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Deuce Ketner | - | 22 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 26 | 13.0 | 990.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.77 | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Ethan Benne | - | 26 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ron Brown III | - | 28 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -29.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG