Millersville
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#161) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1086 (#93) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.8 (#132) | HCA +2.9 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Livingstone | W | 86 - 73 |
| 2023-11-12 | vs | Virginia Union | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Jefferson | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2023-12-01 | vs | California (PA) | L | 87 - 89 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2023-12-12 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2023-12-18 | @ | Edinboro | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Mercyhurst | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Gannon | W | 99 - 78 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Seton Hill | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 93 - 83 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 88 - 57 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Shepherd | W | 69 - 44 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Mansfield | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Kutztown | W | 90 - 74 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 77 - 98 |
| 2024-01-29 | @ | West Chester | W | 89 - 86 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 81 - 58 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Bloomsburg | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Shepherd | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Mansfield | W | 98 - 91 |
| 2024-02-21 | @ | Kutztown | W | 95 - 76 |
| 2024-02-24 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2024-02-28 | vs | West Chester | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2024-03-06 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2024-03-09 | @ | Gannon | L | 64 - 98 |
| 2024-03-15 | @ | West Liberty | L | 78 - 100 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Poffenberger | - | 1 | 38.0 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 19.0 | -5 | -1.0 | -5.0 | 50.0 | 71.4 | 85.7 | 0.23 | 68.8 | 63.9 |
| Matt Dade | - | 29 | 33.8 | 18.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 13.5 | 47 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 55.5 | 38.9 | 71.0 | 0.84 | 63.4 | 58.6 |
| Jaden Faulkner | - | 28 | 32.5 | 16.7 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 11.4 | 12.9 | 37 | 5.3 | 8.1 | 45.3 | 34.8 | 73.0 | -0.3 | 56.7 | 49.1 |
| Jarod Robinson | - | 1 | 49.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 5 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 69.9 | 68.2 |
| Ryan Meis | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | -24 | -3.4 | -15.3 | 30.8 | 27.3 | 80.0 | 0.55 | 49.3 | 42.3 |
| Day Waters | - | 29 | 31.4 | 12.6 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 9.3 | 8.4 | 43 | 6.1 | 8.1 | 43.2 | 40.7 | 81.4 | 0.85 | 59.1 | 54.4 |
| Drew Stover | - | 29 | 27.0 | 12.4 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 12.6 | 44 | 5.5 | 11.2 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 69.4 | 0.83 | 73.5 | 73.0 |
| Caleb Whitaker | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | -10 | -2.5 | -6.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 42.9 | 0.4 | 42.0 | 40.0 |
| Jahme Ested | - | 29 | 30.0 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 41 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 41.7 | 30.4 | 79.7 | 0.51 | 52.1 | 46.9 |
| Dimitrios Sklavenitis | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 85 | 7.1 | 67.2 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.48 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Kedrick Curtis | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 99 | 5.8 | 86.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| J.D. Gross | - | 29 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | -10 | -1.7 | -4.6 | 46.7 | 40.0 | 75.6 | 0.12 | 57.7 | 52.4 |
| Camden Brewer | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 67 | 3.9 | 114.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brian Belade | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -44 | -2.8 | -51.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Jordan Nkoa Abessolo | - | 29 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.9 | -122 | -6.4 | -90.0 | 48.4 | 60.0 | 52.9 | 0.31 | 52.6 | 50.8 |
| Jacob Aryee | - | 29 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | -28 | -4.7 | -45.9 | 44.9 | 41.7 | 60.0 | -0.25 | 60.5 | 60.2 |
| Stefan Marcelle | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -10.0 | -40.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.68 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Dylin Borden | - | 29 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -16 | -2.7 | -27.1 | 28.1 | 15.8 | 54.5 | -0.19 | 41.9 | 32.8 |
| Keith Mency | - | 29 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | -8 | -4.0 | -179.4 | 19.2 | 9.1 | 25.0 | -1.48 | 21.6 | 21.2 |
| C.J. McPherson | - | 29 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -1 | -1.0 | -42.9 | 44.4 | 28.6 | 0 | -1.78 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Jalen Pierce | - | 29 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tobi Ogunbare | - | 29 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tye Thompson | - | 29 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG