Middlebury
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1155 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1176 (#42) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.1 (#53) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Skidmore | L | 42 - 59 |
| 2023-11-14 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 68 - 34 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Framingham St. | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Springfield | L | 46 - 56 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2023-11-27 | @ | Union (NY) | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2023-12-01 | vs | Babson | L | 45 - 56 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | W | 73 - 42 |
| 2023-12-29 | @ | Stevens | W | 65 - 42 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Wellesley | W | 57 - 37 |
| 2024-01-05 | @ | Hamilton | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Amherst | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2024-01-09 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 66 - 41 |
| 2024-01-12 | vs | Bowdoin | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Colby | W | 50 - 40 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Williams | W | 84 - 43 |
| 2024-01-26 | vs | Bates | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Tufts | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2024-01-30 | @ | MIT | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2024-02-02 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 49 - 44 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 44 - 46 |
| 2024-02-09 | @ | Connecticut Col. | W | 55 - 48 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Amherst | W | 59 - 48 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 54 - 61 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALEXA MUSTAFAJ | - | 7 | 31.6 | 25.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 21.0 | 6.9 | - | - | - | 44.2 | 41.5 | 89.5 | 0.14 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
| AUGUSTA DIXON | - | 6 | 31.3 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 8.0 | 12.8 | 15 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 35.4 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 0.12 | 43.2 | 36.5 |
| CALIE MESSINA | - | 7 | 28.3 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 38.3 | 32.0 | 83.3 | -0.08 | 47.1 | 45.0 |
| KALE TORNWINI | - | 7 | 13.7 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 53.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.02 | 57.0 | 54.7 |
| EMILY DOWNER | - | 7 | 15.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 48.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.07 | 50.5 | 48.5 |
| KEELEY BAGLIO | - | 4 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 73.1 | 72.7 |
| BETHANY LUCEY | - | 7 | 22.3 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 25.7 | 22.2 | 71.4 | 0.17 | 32.8 | 28.6 |
| KATIE HOLLENSTEINER | - | 5 | 16.8 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 30.8 | 25.0 | - | 43.0 | 44.4 |
| GABBY STUART | - | 7 | 20.9 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 | -15 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 21.4 | 8.3 | 83.3 | -0.16 | 29.4 | 23.2 |
| BROOKE COLLINS | - | 7 | 22.4 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 14 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 40.5 | 44.4 |
| CAT CARRAFIELLO | - | 3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.05 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Amanda Hill | - | 8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.4 | 75 | 6.8 | 13.3 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Alanna Saunders | - | 6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 19 | 3.8 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 56.8 | 0 |
| LEAH POORMAN | - | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sarah Bona | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Kirck | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG