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Middle Tennessee

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Middle Tennessee
Program History
Coach: Nick McDevitt

2019 Team Stats (21 games)

67.1
PPG
69.6
Opp
-2.5
Margin
42.8%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
68.0%
FT%
37.7
RPG
11.7
APG
15.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
70.5
Adj Opp PPG
#247
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 889 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 963 (#228) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -5.3 (#241) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -3.3 (#220) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.221 (#313) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.275 (#250) AdjNet -8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.273 (#249) AdjNet -8.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.383 (#247) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.445 (#231) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.368 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.380 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 30 More → 912 (#232) RD 139 | GP 30

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Lees McRae Bobcats W 91 - 69
2018-11-09 vs Milligan Buffaloes W 102 - 70
2018-11-12 @ Belmont Bruins L 73 - 92
2018-11-16 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 76 - 73
2018-11-21 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 52 - 74
2018-11-22 @ Butler Bulldogs L 53 - 84
2018-11-23 @ Stanford Cardinal L 54 - 67
2018-12-01 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 74 - 84
2018-12-05 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 51 - 79
2018-12-08 vs Murray State Racers L 42 - 64
2018-12-15 @ Toledo Rockets L 62 - 84
2018-12-21 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 56 - 74
2018-12-30 @ Rhode Island Rams L 60 - 72
2019-01-03 vs Florida International Panthers L 76 - 83
2019-01-05 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 56 - 63
2019-01-10 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 70 - 77
2019-01-12 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 56 - 73
2019-01-17 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 89 - 86
2019-01-19 vs UTEP Miners W 75 - 72
2019-01-24 @ Rice Owls L 68 - 79
2019-01-26 @ North Texas Mean Green L 53 - 70
2019-01-30 vs UAB Blazers W 71 - 65
2019-02-02 @ UAB Blazers W 79 - 78
2019-02-07 vs Charlotte 49ers W 71 - 53
2019-02-09 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 50 - 55
2019-02-14 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 63 - 71
2019-02-16 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 93 - 98
2019-02-23 vs Charlotte 49ers W 86 - 67
2019-03-03 @ Rice Owls L 61 - 67
2019-03-06 @ UTEP Miners W 69 - 53
2019-03-09 vs UTEP Miners W 48 - 47
2019-03-13 @ UAB Blazers L 61 - 70

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Antonio Green Antonio Green G 32 35.3 17.9 4.0 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.2 11.4 10.1 -130 30 -4.3 -5.2 37.5 34.4 89.8 0.09 73.3 47.7
Donovan Sims Donovan Sims G 29 32.7 11.9 4.2 3.0 1.6 0.1 2.3 6.9 11.6 -156 27 -5.8 -7.4 42.8 36.0 87.5 -1.68 80.4 52.7
Reggie Scurry Reggie Scurry F 32 26.4 11.4 6.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 2.0 5.9 11.6 -99 30 -3.3 -5.2 54.3 25.0 65.5 -1.09 81.3 54.5
Karl Gamble Karl Gamble F 32 24.5 7.6 6.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 1.3 4.1 10.2 -73 30 -2.4 -4.3 44.3 41.4 61.0 -0.87 81.5 48.9
James Hawthorne James Hawthorne F 32 23.4 7.0 5.3 1.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.2 8.1 -126 30 -4.2 -7.7 44.9 32.5 76.0 -2.6 71.2 49.6
Jayce Johnson Jayce Johnson G 31 27.9 6.5 4.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 2.5 3.7 8.3 -105 29 -3.6 -5.5 39.7 11.1 54.1 0.81 68.3 40.5
Junior Farquhar Junior Farquhar G 32 19.8 3.5 2.3 1.7 0.9 0.1 1.4 2.8 4.3 -22 30 -0.7 -1.6 40.0 19.4 65.0 0.73 56.7 43.3
Darnell Butler Jr. Darnell Butler Jr. G 4 1.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 225.0 150.0
Anthony Crump Anthony Crump F 6 19.8 2.0 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 2.5 3.3 1.2 -63 8 -7.9 -18.9 20.0 0.0 40.0 -4.12 24.6 20.0
Lawrence Mosley Lawrence Mosley G 22 5.2 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.0 32 21 1.5 13.3 72.7 33.3 50.0 2.0 84.2 77.3
TJ Massenburg TJ Massenburg F 26 5.3 0.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 2.0 -29 23 -1.3 -10.2 66.7 0 75.0 -4.03 135.3 66.7
Chase Miller Chase Miller G 13 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -0.2 9 9 1.0 30.2 20.0 25.0 0 -0.03 30.0 30.0
C.J. Jones C.J. Jones G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kydjana Lewis Kydjana Lewis G 9 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -6 7 -0.9 -32.7 0.0 0 0 -2.41 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG