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Middle Tennessee

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Middle Tennessee
Program History
Coach: Nick McDevitt

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

81.0
PPG
81.0
Opp
+0.0
Margin
41.0%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
67.7%
FT%
41.0
RPG
17.5
APG
13.0
TO
73.8
Est. poss./game
45.9
Adj PPG
46.3
Adj Opp PPG
#170
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1001, returning -0, transfers -20, freshmen -30 More → 949 (#161) Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1001, returning -0, transfers -20, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +265 elo More → 988 (#169) HCA +265 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More → -1.3 (#174) HCA +14.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → +0.1 (#164) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.120 (#335) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.9 More → 0.237 (#280) AdjNet -26.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.9 More → 0.221 (#286) AdjNet -27.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 46.3 More → 0.478 (#170) AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 46.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 46.4 More → 0.484 (#175) AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 46.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.409 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.410 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 969 (#170) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 117 - 73
2026-11-06 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 45 - 89
2026-11-10 vs Evansville Purple Aces - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quintero Barnett Quintero Barnett G 2 27.0 14.0 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 11.5 9.0 - - - - 47.8 22.2 100.0 - 56.5 52.2
Marcus Whitlock Jr. Marcus Whitlock Jr. G 2 27.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 10.5 7.0 - - - - 38.1 40.0 40.0 - 51.7 52.4
Jahvin Carter Jahvin Carter G 2 31.5 11.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 14.0 9.0 - - - - 28.6 20.0 100.0 - 38.1 32.1
Jarred Hall Jarred Hall F 2 13.5 9.5 4.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 6.5 9.0 - - - - 61.5 50.0 0 - 73.1 73.1
Eli Rice Eli Rice G 2 19.0 9.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 8.0 4.0 - - - - 31.2 41.7 80.0 - 52.2 46.9
Kaleb Siler Kaleb Siler C 2 17.0 6.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 7.0 3.5 - - - - 42.9 0 33.3 - 42.4 42.9
Landyn Colyer Landyn Colyer G 2 19.5 6.0 5.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.5 6.5 - - - - 36.4 50.0 66.7 - 48.7 45.5
Ofri Naveh Ofri Naveh F 2 15.0 3.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 - - - - 75.0 0 50.0 - 71.7 75.0
Jax Howard Jax Howard G 2 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 - - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Aiden Bolden Aiden Bolden F 2 8.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.0 - - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 61.5 62.5
Luka Jovanovic Luka Jovanovic C 2 9.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 - - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Garrison White Garrison White G 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Braylin Davis Braylin Davis G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kevin de Kovachich Kevin de Kovachich G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

144 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Barnett33% Carter21% White50% Carter100% Barnett100% Whitlock60% Rice100% Rice33% Carter33% Hall25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hall22% Carter32% Rice50% Carter67% Whitlock25% Rice33% Whitlock100% Carter24% Carter22% Barnett33%
Misses: who misses most here

Quintero BarnettMarcus Whitlock Jr.Jarred HallJahvin CarterEli RiceGarrison White

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 18-27 66.7 36 Quintero Barnett 33% (12 pts) Jarred Hall 22% (8 pts) Jarred Hall 22% (2 misses) Kaleb Siler 22% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 14-36 38.9 28 Jahvin Carter 21% (6 pts) Kaleb Siler 21% (6 pts) Jahvin Carter 32% (7 misses) Kaleb Siler 27% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 2-6 33.3 4 Garrison White 50% (2 pts) Jahvin Carter 50% (2 pts) Eli Rice 50% (2 misses) Jahvin Carter 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-4 25.0 2 Jahvin Carter 100% (2 pts) - Jahvin Carter 67% (2 misses) Braylin Davis 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-9 11.1 2 Quintero Barnett 100% (2 pts) - Marcus Whitlock Jr. 25% (2 misses) Quintero Barnett 25% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 5-8 62.5 15 Marcus Whitlock Jr. 60% (9 pts) Eli Rice 20% (3 pts) Eli Rice 33% (1 misses) Jahvin Carter 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Eli Rice 100% (3 pts) - Marcus Whitlock Jr. 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 6-23 26.1 18 Eli Rice 33% (6 pts) Aiden Bolden 17% (3 pts) Jahvin Carter 24% (4 misses) Marcus Whitlock Jr. 24% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-12 25.0 9 Jahvin Carter 33% (3 pts) Jarred Hall 33% (3 pts) Jahvin Carter 22% (2 misses) Landyn Colyer 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 8-17 47.1 24 Jarred Hall 25% (6 pts) Marcus Whitlock Jr. 25% (6 pts) Quintero Barnett 33% (3 misses) Eli Rice 22% (2 misses)