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Middle Tenn.

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2021 2020
Also known as: Middle Tenn.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#215) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1077 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1012 (#353) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +31.2 (#51) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#58) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +43.6 More → 0.994 (#30) AdjNet +43.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +43.0 More → 0.994 (#32) AdjNet +43.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 95.9 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.958 (#23) AdjO 95.9 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.711 (#99) AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.898 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.855 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Webster W 109 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jahvin Carter - 1 19.9 14.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 20.0 100.0 - 67.0 65.0
Chris Loofe - 1 15.9 14.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 14.0 - - - 70.0 0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Alec Oglesby - 1 24.9 13.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 9.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 80.0 - 45.8 37.5
Sean Smith - 1 21.5 13.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 17.0 - - - 57.1 66.7 75.0 - 74.2 71.4
Tre Green - 1 20.8 12.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 13 0.8 9.9 40.0 44.4 0 0.74 60.0 60.0
James Dent Jr. - 1 21.7 9.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 6 1.2 67.9 60.0 50.0 50.0 0.13 76.5 80.0
Kamari Lands - 1 21.0 9.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 45.0 45.0
Torey Alston - 1 11.4 8.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 57.1 0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Luka Jovanovic - 1 8.9 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 116.7 116.7
Jarred Hall - 1 15.3 6.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 -18 -1.1 -8.8 50.0 0.0 0 -1.18 50.0 50.0
Marcus Whitlock - 1 18.9 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG