🐻⬇️🏀

Mid-Atlantic Christian Mustangs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2019
Also known as: Mid-Atlantic Christian University Mustangs
Program History

2026 Team Stats (6 games)

53.0
PPG
95.3
Opp
-42.3
Margin
31.8%
FG%
21.1%
3P%
56.2%
FT%
28.8
RPG
7.7
APG
14.2
TO
85.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 964 (#575) HCA +109 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -27.8 (#663) HCA +2.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.203 (#703) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 80.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.083 (#686) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.102 (#694) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 301 | GP 6 More → 689 (#702) RD 301 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Hampton Pirates L 43 - 103
2025-11-13 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 55 - 108
2025-12-17 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 62 - 96
2025-12-20 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 55 - 95
2026-01-20 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 50 - 56
2026-02-09 @ Davidson Wildcats L 53 - 114

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Shepherd J. Shepherd G 3 21.0 11.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.0 12.0 0.3 -36 -12.0 -33.5 36.1 60.0 100.0 0.04 45.3 44.4
A. Bowles A. Bowles - 4 21.5 7.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 11.0 -3.5 -39 -19.5 -57.2 22.7 15.4 75.0 -0.44 29.5 25.0
L. Thompson L. Thompson - 6 20.2 6.7 3.0 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.2 7.3 3.2 3 1.0 74.2 40.9 0.0 40.0 0.07 41.3 40.9
S. Clough S. Clough F 3 20.0 6.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.3 2.7 -40 -13.3 -94.8 43.8 40.0 0.0 -0.14 53.3 56.2
E. Dias E. Dias F 6 14.2 5.7 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.7 6.7 0.0 -38 -7.6 -44.1 35.0 0.0 42.9 -0.19 36.8 35.0
T. Williams T. Williams - 4 17.8 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.8 4.5 3.5 142 6.5 12.6 50.0 42.9 20.0 1.12 54.5 58.3
J. Skinner J. Skinner - 5 15.0 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 1.0 4.6 3.0 - - - 30.4 33.3 87.5 -0.11 41.5 32.6
K. Rodgers K. Rodgers - 6 17.2 4.3 3.2 0.3 0.8 0.0 1.3 4.3 3.0 152 7.6 21.9 38.5 0.0 85.7 1.26 44.7 38.5
N. Trafton N. Trafton - 6 15.0 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.2 4.7 0.7 -32 -6.4 -23.2 35.7 16.7 40.0 -0.48 38.6 37.5
T. Williams T. Williams G 5 10.4 3.6 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.0 142 6.5 12.6 38.5 0.0 80.0 1.12 51.7 38.5
T. Williams T. Williams F 5 24.0 3.6 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.8 8.2 -0.6 142 6.5 12.6 17.1 7.7 50.0 1.12 20.6 18.3
E. Hernandez E. Hernandez - 5 9.4 2.8 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 3.0 1.6 2 1.0 8.8 40.0 22.2 0 0.03 46.7 46.7
D. Lee D. Lee - 5 12.8 2.0 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.6 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.15 36.3 33.3
Q. Yarbrough Q. Yarbrough - 2 7.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 -1.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 -0.0 14.3 14.3
C. Petty C. Petty - 5 6.2 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 -0.25 25.0 25.0
U. Logan U. Logan G 5 15.8 0.4 1.6 1.6 1.4 0.0 1.8 2.8 0.4 -19 -4.8 -17.6 7.1 0.0 0.0 -0.4 6.7 7.1
K. Iseli K. Iseli - 5 5.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.27 20.5 0.0
Rafiq Coles Rafiq Coles G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Duane Pickering Duane Pickering G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tyone Ruffin Jr. Tyone Ruffin Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 160 9.4 17.9 - - - 1.69 - -
T. Williams T. Williams - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 142 6.5 12.6 0.0 0.0 0 1.12 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG