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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

Model Outputs

2000-2001
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 987 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 962 (#184) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +117 elo More โ†’ 894 (#275) HCA +117 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +2.0 (#133) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +2.8 (#123) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.219 (#270) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.1 More โ†’ 0.587 (#129) AdjNet +3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.1 More โ†’ 0.590 (#129) AdjNet +3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.516 (#148) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 71.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.443 (#202) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.473 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.458 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 27 More โ†’ 982 (#169) RD 136 | GP 27

2001 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2000-11-17 @ Oakland L 90 - 97
2000-11-21 vs Western Michigan W 92 - 78
2000-11-25 vs Wagner W 98 - 83
2000-11-28 vs Wake Forest L 60 - 71
2000-12-02 N Maryland L 51 - 82
2000-12-03 N St. John's (NY) L 83 - 97
2000-12-09 @ Duke L 61 - 104
2000-12-13 vs Bowling Green W 89 - 71
2000-12-27 vs Towson W 73 - 71
2000-12-30 vs Eastern Michigan W 90 - 73
2001-01-03 @ Purdue L 60 - 80
2001-01-09 vs Indiana W 70 - 64
2001-01-13 @ Illinois L 51 - 80
2001-01-18 @ Ohio State L 61 - 78
2001-01-20 @ Iowa W 70 - 69
2001-01-25 vs Illinois L 51 - 55
2001-01-27 @ Northwestern W 72 - 65
2001-01-30 vs Michigan State L 64 - 91
2001-02-03 vs Wisconsin L 41 - 60
2001-02-07 @ Penn State L 66 - 77
2001-02-11 @ Indiana L 59 - 72
2001-02-14 vs Iowa W 95 - 85
2001-02-17 vs Minnesota L 75 - 93
2001-02-24 vs Purdue L 59 - 78
2001-02-28 vs Northwestern L 70 - 75
2001-03-03 @ Michigan State L 57 - 78
2001-03-08 N Penn State L 80 - 82

2001 Roster

No roster data available for this season.