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Michigan Tech

Also known as: Michigan Tech
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1149 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1218 (#15) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +17.8 (#12) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.813 (#155) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +12.7 More → 0.799 (#81) NetEff +12.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.8 More → 0.952 (#77) AdjNet +25.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.0 More → 0.954 (#75) AdjNet +26.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.5 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.850 (#81) AdjO 83.5 | AdjD 64.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 72 - 57
2024-11-09 @ Maryville (MO) W 88 - 84
2024-11-16 @ Winona St. L 78 - 90
2024-11-17 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 67 - 83
2024-11-22 @ Minn. Duluth L 70 - 80
2024-11-23 @ MSU Moorhead W 74 - 70
2024-11-27 vs St. Cloud St. W 88 - 70
2024-12-05 vs Wis.-Parkside W 80 - 54
2024-12-07 vs Purdue Northwest W 92 - 59
2024-12-14 vs Northland W 106 - 43
2024-12-18 @ Green Bay W 72 - 70
2025-01-02 @ Grand Valley St. W 59 - 58
2025-01-04 @ Davenport L 71 - 73
2025-01-09 @ Northern Mich. W 88 - 65
2025-01-11 vs Roosevelt W 82 - 59
2025-01-16 vs Saginaw Valley W 68 - 66
2025-01-18 vs Wayne St. (MI) W 74 - 68
2025-01-23 @ Lake Superior St. L 72 - 82
2025-01-25 @ Ferris St. W 88 - 85
2025-01-30 vs Davenport W 77 - 69
2025-02-01 vs Grand Valley St. W 81 - 66
2025-02-06 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 62 - 74
2025-02-08 @ Saginaw Valley W 78 - 73
2025-02-13 vs Ferris St. W 75 - 63
2025-02-15 vs Lake Superior St. W 80 - 75
2025-02-20 vs Northern Mich. W 67 - 64
2025-02-22 @ Roosevelt W 82 - 56
2025-02-27 @ Purdue Northwest W 78 - 56
2025-03-01 @ Wis.-Parkside W 71 - 63
2025-03-05 vs Roosevelt W 84 - 65
2025-03-08 vs Northern Mich. L 68 - 69
2025-03-15 vs Northern Mich. W 87 - 72
2025-03-16 @ Lake Superior St. L 73 - 83

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Erickson - 1 34.0 23.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 14.0 -89 -3.4 -9.3 33.3 28.6 91.7 0.28 56.7 40.0
Marcus Tomashek - 31 29.5 22.7 4.2 2.6 0.5 0.3 2.5 17.2 10.6 -109 -2.6 -9.5 41.2 33.0 74.2 -0.79 54.7 48.4
Reece Hazelton - 1 31.0 14.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 11.0 -10 -0.4 -1.3 36.4 33.3 100.0 1.17 54.9 45.5
Deng Reng - 1 25.0 10.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 11.0 -121 -4.8 -16.7 60.0 66.7 66.7 0.11 79.1 80.0
Ty Fernholz - 26 17.4 9.5 1.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.0 6.7 6.2 -67 -2.8 -39.2 48.0 47.7 81.8 0.01 66.9 65.4
Dawson Nordgaard - 32 18.6 8.9 3.4 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.6 6.1 7.1 74 1.8 7.8 57.4 0.0 72.6 0.74 61.4 57.4
Pete Calcaterra - 32 20.8 8.8 5.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.2 5.5 9.2 -146 -4.7 -16.7 61.6 26.7 63.5 0.05 64.5 62.7
Adam Hobson - 32 20.2 8.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 1.1 6.2 6.2 -87 -4.0 -15.4 42.5 40.6 79.2 1.78 59.6 56.0
Gabe Smith - 32 19.5 6.7 3.5 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.6 4.1 7.9 -63 -2.0 -13.3 58.8 28.6 77.1 0.56 66.1 61.1
Nathan Claerbaut - 1 28.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -98 -3.8 -12.2 25.0 0 75.0 0.52 43.4 25.0
Josh Terrian - 32 27.5 4.2 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 4.2 5.8 -70 -1.7 -6.7 33.1 31.5 66.7 2.03 49.0 48.5
Matt Schmainda - 32 13.3 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.6 3.0 3.4 -58 -1.9 -30.5 45.3 39.7 85.7 0.05 61.7 60.5
Nate Abel - 32 24.4 3.4 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 3.2 5.1 -119 -2.8 -11.5 40.6 38.9 83.3 0.55 52.1 51.0
Jimmy Scholler - 1 28.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 -101 -4.0 -12.7 33.3 33.3 0 -0.44 50.0 50.0
Owen Hardy - 1 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -60 -2.5 -18.7 0.0 0 25.0 0.1 18.1 0.0
Grant Warren - 32 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 -83 -4.6 -778.1 60.0 57.1 50.0 -1.22 69.4 70.0
Drew Barrie - 29 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 36 2.1 423.5 40.0 40.0 0 -1.27 55.0 55.0
Peyton LaCombe - 21 2.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.2 -30 -1.8 -29.7 72.7 0.0 0.0 -0.23 69.9 72.7
Luke Hazelton - 32 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 - - - 58.3 42.9 100.0 - 73.8 70.8
Brad Simonsen - 31 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 2 0.5 85.7 44.4 37.5 0 -1.8 61.1 61.1
Alex Calcaterra - 28 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -17 -2.8 -728.6 100.0 100.0 0.0 -1.8 86.8 125.0
Ethan Heck - 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Layne Risdon - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brandon Claerbaut - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -82 -4.6 -291.6 0 0 0 -0.78 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG