Michigan Tech
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1149 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1218 (#15) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.8 (#12) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.813 (#155) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.799 (#81) | NetEff +12.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.952 (#77) | AdjNet +25.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.954 (#75) | AdjNet +26.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.850 (#81) | AdjO 83.5 | AdjD 64.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Minn. Duluth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Northland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Green Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-05 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-15 | vs | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-16 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Erickson | - | 1 | 34.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | -89 | -3.4 | -9.3 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 91.7 | 0.28 | 56.7 | 40.0 |
| Marcus Tomashek | - | 30 | 29.4 | 22.5 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 17.1 | 10.3 | -109 | -2.6 | -9.5 | 41.4 | 32.7 | 73.9 | -0.79 | 54.6 | 48.5 |
| Reece Hazelton | - | 1 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.17 | 54.9 | 45.5 |
| Deng Reng | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -121 | -4.8 | -16.7 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.11 | 79.1 | 80.0 |
| Ty Fernholz | - | 25 | 17.4 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 6.0 | -67 | -2.8 | -39.2 | 48.2 | 47.9 | 81.8 | 0.01 | 67.0 | 65.5 |
| Pete Calcaterra | - | 31 | 20.9 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 9.2 | -146 | -4.7 | -16.7 | 61.8 | 28.6 | 63.5 | 0.05 | 64.8 | 63.0 |
| Dawson Nordgaard | - | 31 | 18.3 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 74 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 57.5 | 0.0 | 72.6 | 0.74 | 61.7 | 57.5 |
| Adam Hobson | - | 31 | 20.5 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -87 | -4.0 | -15.4 | 42.8 | 40.3 | 80.4 | 1.78 | 59.8 | 56.2 |
| Gabe Smith | - | 31 | 19.4 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 8.0 | -63 | -2.0 | -13.3 | 58.7 | 30.0 | 77.1 | 0.56 | 66.3 | 61.1 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | - | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -98 | -3.8 | -12.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.52 | 43.4 | 25.0 |
| Josh Terrian | - | 31 | 27.5 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 5.7 | -70 | -1.7 | -6.7 | 33.1 | 31.5 | 66.7 | 2.03 | 49.0 | 48.5 |
| Matt Schmainda | - | 31 | 13.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -58 | -1.9 | -30.5 | 45.7 | 40.0 | 85.7 | 0.05 | 62.1 | 60.9 |
| Nate Abel | - | 31 | 24.6 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 5.1 | -119 | -2.8 | -11.5 | 41.0 | 39.6 | 83.3 | 0.55 | 52.6 | 51.5 |
| Jimmy Scholler | - | 1 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -101 | -4.0 | -12.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.44 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Owen Hardy | - | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -60 | -2.5 | -18.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.1 | 18.1 | 0.0 |
| Grant Warren | - | 31 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -83 | -4.6 | -778.1 | 60.0 | 57.1 | 50.0 | -1.22 | 69.4 | 70.0 |
| Drew Barrie | - | 28 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 36 | 2.1 | 423.5 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -1.27 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Peyton LaCombe | - | 20 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -30 | -1.8 | -29.7 | 72.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.23 | 69.9 | 72.7 |
| Luke Hazelton | - | 31 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 42.9 | 100.0 | - | 73.8 | 70.8 |
| Brad Simonsen | - | 30 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.5 | 85.7 | 44.4 | 37.5 | 0 | -1.8 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Alex Calcaterra | - | 27 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -17 | -2.8 | -728.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -1.8 | 86.8 | 125.0 |
| Ethan Heck | - | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Layne Risdon | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Claerbaut | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -82 | -4.6 | -291.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG