Michigan Tech
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1085 (#105) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1097 (#99) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1036 (#113) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.6 (#53) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.3 (#52) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.585 (#118) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.842 (#57) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.845 (#57) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.732 (#53) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#76) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.731 (#66) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.708 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1091 (#101) | RD 121 | GP 30 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-12 | @ | Lewis | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2016-11-13 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | MSU Moorhead | L | 82 - 90 |
| 2016-11-26 | @ | Minn. Duluth | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2016-11-28 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 80 - 85 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Walsh | W | 92 - 89 |
| 2016-12-08 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2016-12-15 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | Findlay | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2016-12-31 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2017-01-05 | @ | Ashland | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Tiffin | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2017-01-12 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 93 - 72 |
| 2017-01-19 | vs | Northwood | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 86 - 57 |
| 2017-01-26 | vs | Grand Valley St. | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Ferris St. | L | 76 - 77 |
| 2017-01-30 | @ | Northern Mich. | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2017-02-02 | @ | Northwood | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 84 - 98 |
| 2017-02-09 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2017-02-16 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 57 - 74 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2017-02-23 | vs | Northern Mich. | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2017-02-28 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 92 - 84 |
| 2017-03-04 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 71 - 79 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.