Michigan State
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1923 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1646 (#10) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +40.3 (#13) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.510 (#51) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.598 (#53) | AdjNet +3.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.597 (#53) | AdjNet +3.4 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | vs | Michigan State | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2003-11-25 | @ | - | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Pennsylvania | W | 77 - 52 |
| 2003-11-30 | vs | Michigan State | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Michigan State | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2003-12-06 | @ | - | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2003-12-13 | @ | - | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2003-12-16 | vs | South Florida | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2003-12-30 | vs | Michigan State | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2004-01-14 | vs | Penn State | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Michigan State | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Michigan State | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2004-02-04 | vs | Michigan State | W | 89 - 72 |
| 2004-02-10 | @ | - | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Minnesota | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2004-02-17 | vs | Purdue | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Northwestern | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2004-02-24 | @ | - | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2004-03-02 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ | - | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2004-03-13 | @ | - | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2004-03-18 | @ | - | L | 66 - 72 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Davis | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Hill | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kelvin Torbert | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Maurice Ager | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Alan Anderson | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Shannon Brown | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Andreas | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tim Bograkos | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Matt Trannon | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rashi Johnson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Delco Rowley | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Drew Naymick | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Justin Ockerman | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brandon Cotton | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Anthony Hamo | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Andy Harvey | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG