Michigan State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1368 (#15) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1286 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1104 (#45) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.9 (#15) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.6 (#21) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.817 (#21) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.928 (#15) | AdjNet +22.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.929 (#16) | AdjNet +22.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.803 (#15) | AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 64.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.704 (#25) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.828 (#21) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.812 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1264 (#19) | RD 115 | GP 28 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-30 | @ | Illinois–Chicago | W | 92 - 78 |
| 1994-12-03 | vs | Louisville | W | 85 - 71 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Nebraska | L | 91 - 96 |
| 1994-12-12 | vs | Cleveland State | W | 111 - 68 |
| 1994-12-17 | @ | Detroit Mercy | W | 80 - 63 |
| 1994-12-20 | vs | Tennessee | W | 79 - 68 |
| 1994-12-29 | vs | Ball State | W | 117 - 95 |
| 1994-12-30 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 70 - 60 |
| 1995-01-04 | @ | Wisconsin | W | 78 - 64 |
| 1995-01-07 | vs | Iowa | W | 69 - 68 |
| 1995-01-11 | @ | Indiana | L | 82 - 89 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Oklahoma State | W | 70 - 69 |
| 1995-01-18 | vs | Northwestern | W | 93 - 56 |
| 1995-01-22 | @ | Michigan | W | 73 - 71 |
| 1995-01-25 | vs | Minnesota | W | 54 - 53 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Illinois | W | 75 - 67 |
| 1995-02-02 | vs | Penn State | W | 82 - 62 |
| 1995-02-04 | @ | Ohio State | W | 67 - 58 |
| 1995-02-07 | vs | Purdue | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Penn State | W | 68 - 53 |
| 1995-02-15 | vs | Illinois | W | 68 - 58 |
| 1995-02-18 | @ | Minnesota | L | 57 - 66 |
| 1995-02-21 | vs | Michigan | W | 67 - 64 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Northwestern | W | 83 - 60 |
| 1995-03-05 | vs | Indiana | W | 67 - 61 |
| 1995-03-08 | @ | Iowa | L | 78 - 79 |
| 1995-03-11 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 97 - 72 |
| 1995-03-17 | N | Weber State | L | 72 - 79 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.