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Michigan State

Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

93.5
PPG
60.0
Opp
+33.5
Margin
54.6%
FG%
40.4%
3P%
59.4%
FT%
49.0
RPG
22.0
APG
13.0
TO
71.6
Est. poss./game
76.8
Adj PPG
65.8
Adj Opp PPG
#7
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1490 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1210, returning +171, transfers -26, freshmen +135 More โ†’ 1494 (#11) Preseason prior 1490 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1210, returning +171, transfers -26, freshmen +135
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1296 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More โ†’ 1153 (#13) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More โ†’ +22.8 (#7) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More โ†’ +22.2 (#7) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.962 (#9) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.5 More โ†’ 0.879 (#7) AdjNet +25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.5 More โ†’ 0.881 (#7) AdjNet +25.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.821 (#7) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.759 (#9) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.870 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.861 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 200 | GP 2 More โ†’ 1333 (#11) RD 200 | GP 2

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 96 - 59
2026-11-05 vs Toledo Rockets W 91 - 61
2026-11-10 @ Duke Blue Devils - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Northern Iowa Panthers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Fears Jr. Jeremy Fears Jr. G 2 25.5 12.5 1.0 10.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 7.5 14.0 50 2 25.0 39.3 53.3 14.3 80.0 3.72 64.4 56.7
Jordan Scott Jordan Scott F 2 24.0 11.5 7.5 4.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 11.0 12.5 38 2 19.0 32.4 45.5 27.3 0.0 1.17 50.3 52.3
Coen Carr Coen Carr F 2 23.5 11.0 6.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 7.0 11.0 51 2 25.5 43.4 50.0 100.0 66.7 3.45 61.2 57.1
Anton Bonke Anton Bonke C 2 16.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 5.5 14.0 33 2 16.5 41.0 72.7 0.0 50.0 1.04 68.9 72.7
Jasiah Jervis Jasiah Jervis G 2 24.5 10.0 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 7.5 7.5 39 2 19.5 31.8 40.0 41.7 75.0 0.51 59.7 56.7
Kaleb Glenn Kaleb Glenn F 2 13.5 9.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 4.5 9.0 26 2 13.0 38.4 77.8 100.0 66.7 0.99 81.6 83.3
Carlos Medlock Jr. Carlos Medlock Jr. G 2 14.5 8.0 1.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 8.0 22 2 11.0 29.1 66.7 100.0 16.7 0.55 68.7 83.3
Kur Teng Kur Teng G 2 14.5 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 6.0 28 2 14.0 38.1 44.4 50.0 100.0 3.43 70.9 66.7
Jesse McCulloch Jesse McCulloch F 1 12.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 9 1 9.0 29.2 100.0 0 0 -1.17 100.0 100.0
Ethan Taylor Ethan Taylor C 2 14.0 4.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 7.5 18 2 9.0 26.3 100.0 0 55.6 -0.85 75.5 100.0
Cameron Ward Cameron Ward F 2 12.5 4.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 7.0 21 2 10.5 33.1 50.0 0 62.5 1.9 59.8 50.0
Julius Avent Julius Avent F 2 6.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 6 2 3.0 19.4 50.0 0 0 -0.11 50.0 50.0
Matthew Watkins Matthew Watkins G 2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -2 2 -1.0 -24.6 50.0 0 0 -0.67 50.0 50.0
Brennan Walton Brennan Walton F 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -2 2 -1.0 -24.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.23 0.0 0.0
Colin Walton Colin Walton F 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -2 2 -1.0 -24.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.25 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Michigan State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Michigan State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Miles Bridges 2016-18 NBA Phoenix Suns 7 32.4 17.4 7.9 3.1 11-05 18 pts, 13 reb, 5 ast 7 GP, 17.4 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 3.1 APG
Jaren Jackson Jr. 2017-18 NBA Utah Jazz 4 26.1 16.2 5.0 2.0 10-26 6 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast 4 GP, 16.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.0 APG
Jase Richardson 2024-25 NBA Orlando Magic 8 21.8 6.4 1.9 2.5 11-05 10 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast 8 GP, 6.4 PPG, 1.9 RPG, 2.5 APG
Max Christie 2021-22 NBA Dallas Mavericks 8 21.8 6.2 3.2 1.6 11-06 0 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast 8 GP, 6.2 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 1.6 APG
Draymond Green 2008-12 NBA Golden State Warriors 7 26.7 3.0 5.0 7.0 11-05 2 pts, 5 reb, 11 ast 7 GP, 3.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 7.0 APG
Jaden Akins 2021-25 NBA New York Knicks 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10-27 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast 2 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG
Marcus Bingham Jr. 2018-22 EuroLeague Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul 9 16.9 6.7 4.1 0.7 11-05 9 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast 6 GP, 3.8 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 1.0 APG
A.J. Hoggard 2020-24 G League Raptors 905 0 - - - - 11-06 15 pts, 1 reb, 5 ast Play-In 1 GP, 15.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 5.0 APG
Tyson Walker 2021-24 EuroCup Cosea JL Bourg-en-Bresse 1 34.8 20.0 2.0 3.0 09-30 20 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-06 Max Christie NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz 9 0 1 1 Box
2026-11-06 Jaden Akins G League Play-In Westchester Knicks @ Maine Celtics 32 17 1 7 Box
2026-11-06 A.J. Hoggard G League Play-In Raptors 905 @ College Park Skyhawks 30 15 1 5 Box
2026-11-05 Miles Bridges NBA Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic 31 18 13 5 Box
2026-11-05 Marcus Bingham Jr. EuroLeague Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 22 9 9 1 Box
2026-11-05 Jase Richardson NBA Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns 26 10 2 3 Box
2026-11-05 Draymond Green NBA Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat 27 2 5 11 Box
2026-11-04 Miles Bridges NBA Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers 31 18 7 5 Box
2026-11-02 Miles Bridges NBA Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors 35 21 6 3 Box
2026-11-02 Max Christie NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings 8 0 2 0 Box
2026-11-02 Jase Richardson NBA Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards 29 9 1 5 Box
2026-11-02 Draymond Green NBA Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns 17 4 4 2 Box
2026-11-01 Jase Richardson NBA Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics 26 4 1 3 Box
2026-10-30 Max Christie NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets 18 2 1 0 Box
2026-10-30 Draymond Green NBA Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers 32 2 4 9 Box
2026-10-29 Marcus Bingham Jr. EuroLeague Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul @ Real Madrid 14 3 1 2 Box
2026-10-27 Marcus Bingham Jr. EuroLeague Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul @ Valencia Basket 14 0 2 2 Box
2026-10-27 Jaden Akins NBA New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons 2 0 0 0 Box
2026-10-26 Jaren Jackson Jr. NBA Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies 10 6 3 2 Box
2026-10-25 Jaren Jackson Jr. NBA Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers 33 20 2 1 Box
2026-10-25 Jaden Akins NBA New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic 0 0 0 0 Box
2026-10-23 Jaren Jackson Jr. NBA Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans 33 24 10 3 Box
2026-09-30 Tyson Walker EuroCup Cosea JL Bourg-en-Bresse @ Napoli Basketball 35 20 2 3 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

119 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Bonke21% Carr27% Taylor100% Medlock100% Fears100% Scott50% Jervis40% Medlock17% Medlock50% Jervis50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Bonke33% Carr45% Scott50% Scott50% Medlock67% Jervis50% Walton33% Scott44% Fears50% Teng38%
Misses: who misses most here

Jordan ScottJasiah JervisJeremy Fears Jr.Anton BonkeCoen CarrCarlos Medlock Jr.Kur TengEthan TaylorBrennan Walton

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 28-34 82.4 56 Anton Bonke 21% (12 pts) Jordan Scott 18% (10 pts) Anton Bonke 33% (2 misses) Coen Carr 33% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 15-26 57.7 30 Coen Carr 27% (8 pts) Anton Bonke 13% (4 pts) Coen Carr 45% (5 misses) Kaleb Glenn 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 1-3 33.3 2 Ethan Taylor 100% (2 pts) - Jordan Scott 50% (1 misses) Matthew Watkins 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-5 20.0 2 Carlos Medlock Jr. 100% (2 pts) - Jordan Scott 50% (2 misses) Jasiah Jervis 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-4 25.0 2 Jeremy Fears Jr. 100% (2 pts) - Carlos Medlock Jr. 67% (2 misses) Kur Teng 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Jordan Scott 50% (3 pts) Kur Teng 50% (3 pts) Jasiah Jervis 50% (1 misses) Kur Teng 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 5-8 62.5 15 Jasiah Jervis 40% (6 pts) Carlos Medlock Jr. 20% (3 pts) Brennan Walton 33% (1 misses) Jasiah Jervis 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-15 40.0 18 Carlos Medlock Jr. 17% (3 pts) Coen Carr 17% (3 pts) Jordan Scott 44% (4 misses) Jasiah Jervis 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-8 25.0 6 Carlos Medlock Jr. 50% (3 pts) Jeremy Fears Jr. 50% (3 pts) Jeremy Fears Jr. 50% (3 misses) Jordan Scott 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-12 33.3 12 Jasiah Jervis 50% (6 pts) Coen Carr 25% (3 pts) Kur Teng 38% (3 misses) Jasiah Jervis 25% (2 misses)