🐻⬇️🏀

Miami Heat

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2019 Team Stats (82 games)

105.7
PPG
105.9
Opp
-0.2
Margin
45.0%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
69.5%
FT%
46.3
RPG
24.3
APG
14.1
TO
100.4
Est. poss./game
104.2
Adj PPG
104.6
Adj Opp PPG
#15
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 958 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +47 elo More → 995 (#16) HCA +47 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.4 (#15) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +0.8 (#13) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.494 (#15) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.9 More → 0.526 (#14) NetEff +0.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.3 More → 0.490 (#15) AdjNet -0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.3 More → 0.490 (#15) AdjNet -0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 104.2 | AdjD 104.6 More → 0.490 (#15) AdjO 104.2 | AdjD 104.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 105.9 | AdjD 105.3 More → 0.513 (#13) AdjO 105.9 | AdjD 105.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.486 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.490 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 263 | GP 82 More → 984 (#16) RD 263 | GP 82

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-10-17 @ Orlando Magic L 101 - 104
2018-10-18 @ Washington Wizards W 113 - 112
2018-10-20 vs Charlotte Hornets L 112 - 113
2018-10-24 vs New York Knicks W 110 - 87
2018-10-27 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 120 - 111
2018-10-29 vs Sacramento Kings L 113 - 123
2018-10-30 @ Charlotte Hornets L 113 - 125
2018-11-03 @ Atlanta Hawks L 118 - 123
2018-11-05 @ Detroit Pistons W 120 - 115
2018-11-07 vs San Antonio Spurs W 95 - 88
2018-11-09 vs Indiana Pacers L 102 - 110
2018-11-10 vs Washington Wizards L 110 - 116
2018-11-12 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 114 - 124
2018-11-14 @ Brooklyn Nets W 120 - 107
2018-11-16 @ Indiana Pacers L 91 - 99
2018-11-18 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 113
2018-11-20 vs Brooklyn Nets L 92 - 104
2018-11-23 @ Chicago Bulls W 103 - 96
2018-11-25 @ Toronto Raptors L 115 - 125
2018-11-27 vs Atlanta Hawks L 113 - 115
2018-11-30 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 106 - 101
2018-12-02 vs Utah Jazz W 102 - 100
2018-12-04 vs Orlando Magic L 90 - 105
2018-12-07 @ Phoenix Suns W 115 - 98
2018-12-08 @ LA Clippers W 121 - 98
2018-12-10 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 105 - 108
2018-12-12 @ Utah Jazz L 84 - 111
2018-12-14 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 100 - 97
2018-12-16 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 102 - 96
2018-12-20 vs Houston Rockets W 101 - 99
2018-12-22 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 94 - 87
2018-12-23 @ Orlando Magic W 115 - 91
2018-12-26 vs Toronto Raptors L 104 - 106
2018-12-28 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 118 - 94
2018-12-30 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 104 - 113
2019-01-02 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 117 - 92
2019-01-04 vs Washington Wizards W 115 - 109
2019-01-06 @ Atlanta Hawks L 82 - 106
2019-01-08 vs Denver Nuggets L 99 - 103
2019-01-10 vs Boston Celtics W 115 - 99
2019-01-12 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 112 - 108
2019-01-15 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 86 - 124
2019-01-18 @ Detroit Pistons L 93 - 98
2019-01-19 @ Chicago Bulls W 117 - 103
2019-01-21 @ Boston Celtics L 99 - 107
2019-01-23 vs LA Clippers L 99 - 111
2019-01-25 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 100 - 94
2019-01-27 @ New York Knicks W 106 - 97
2019-01-30 vs Chicago Bulls L 89 - 105
2019-02-01 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 102 - 118
2019-02-02 vs Indiana Pacers L 88 - 95
2019-02-05 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 118 - 108
2019-02-08 @ Sacramento Kings L 96 - 102
2019-02-10 @ Golden State Warriors L 118 - 120
2019-02-11 @ Denver Nuggets L 87 - 103
2019-02-13 @ Dallas Mavericks W 112 - 101
2019-02-21 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 102 - 106
2019-02-23 vs Detroit Pistons L 96 - 119
2019-02-25 vs Phoenix Suns L 121 - 124
2019-02-27 vs Golden State Warriors W 126 - 125
2019-02-28 @ Houston Rockets L 118 - 121
2019-03-02 vs Brooklyn Nets W 117 - 88
2019-03-04 vs Atlanta Hawks W 114 - 113
2019-03-06 @ Charlotte Hornets W 91 - 84
2019-03-08 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 126 - 110
2019-03-10 vs Toronto Raptors L 104 - 125
2019-03-13 vs Detroit Pistons W 108 - 74
2019-03-15 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 98 - 113
2019-03-17 vs Charlotte Hornets W 93 - 75
2019-03-18 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 116 - 107
2019-03-20 @ San Antonio Spurs W 110 - 105
2019-03-22 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 87 - 116
2019-03-23 @ Washington Wizards W 113 - 108
2019-03-26 vs Orlando Magic L 99 - 104
2019-03-28 vs Dallas Mavericks W 105 - 99
2019-03-30 @ New York Knicks W 100 - 92
2019-04-01 @ Boston Celtics L 105 - 110
2019-04-03 vs Boston Celtics L 102 - 112
2019-04-05 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 109 - 111
2019-04-07 @ Toronto Raptors L 109 - 117
2019-04-09 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 122 - 99
2019-04-10 @ Brooklyn Nets L 94 - 113

2019 Roster

No roster data available for this season.

2018-2019 Shot Zones

4614 located field-goal attempts in 53 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Whiteside19% Wade21% Wade38% Richardson24% Winslow24% Waiters23% Olynyk16% Richardson23% Waiters22% Richardson18%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wade14% Wade18% Wade40% Richardson28% Wade19% Waiters16% Waiters14% Richardson23% Wade18% Richardson15%
Misses: who misses most here

Dwyane WadeJosh RichardsonJustise WinslowHassan WhitesideDion WaitersKelly Olynyk

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 991-1550 63.9 1982 Hassan Whiteside 19% (370 pts) Bam Adebayo 14% (286 pts) Dwyane Wade 14% (80 misses) Hassan Whiteside 14% (80 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 341-786 43.4 682 Dwyane Wade 21% (144 pts) Hassan Whiteside 16% (112 pts) Dwyane Wade 18% (80 misses) Justise Winslow 16% (69 misses)
Mid-range left 110-274 40.1 220 Dwyane Wade 38% (84 pts) Josh Richardson 22% (48 pts) Dwyane Wade 40% (66 misses) Josh Richardson 15% (25 misses)
Mid-range center 37-120 30.8 74 Josh Richardson 24% (18 pts) Dwyane Wade 19% (14 pts) Josh Richardson 28% (23 misses) Dwyane Wade 23% (19 misses)
Mid-range right 76-222 34.2 152 Justise Winslow 24% (36 pts) Josh Richardson 17% (26 pts) Dwyane Wade 19% (28 misses) Josh Richardson 16% (24 misses)
Left corner 3 115-287 40.1 345 Dion Waiters 23% (81 pts) Dwyane Wade 16% (54 pts) Dion Waiters 16% (28 misses) Dwyane Wade 16% (28 misses)
Right corner 3 73-227 32.2 219 Kelly Olynyk 16% (36 pts) Dion Waiters 14% (30 pts) Dion Waiters 14% (21 misses) Josh Richardson 12% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 left 155-479 32.4 465 Josh Richardson 23% (108 pts) Dion Waiters 17% (81 pts) Josh Richardson 23% (73 misses) Dion Waiters 20% (66 misses)
Above-break 3 center 90-263 34.2 270 Dion Waiters 22% (60 pts) Kelly Olynyk 13% (36 pts) Dwyane Wade 18% (32 misses) Josh Richardson 16% (28 misses)
Above-break 3 right 141-406 34.7 423 Josh Richardson 18% (78 pts) Dion Waiters 18% (75 pts) Josh Richardson 15% (39 misses) Dion Waiters 14% (38 misses)