🐻⬇️🏀

Miami (OH)

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Miami (OH) Redhawks, Miami (OH)
Program History
Coach: Travis Steele

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

83.0
PPG
75.0
Opp
+8.0
Margin
44.7%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
88.4%
FT%
40.0
RPG
16.0
APG
10.5
TO
70.0
Est. poss./game
74.9
Adj PPG
71.2
Adj Opp PPG
#88
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1157 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1107, returning +83, transfers -14, freshmen -20 More → 1171 (#82) Preseason prior 1157 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1107, returning +83, transfers -14, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +218 elo More → 1130 (#71) HCA +218 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +218 elo More → 1079 (#64) HCA +218 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More → +10.4 (#76) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → +10.2 (#76) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#106) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.9 More → 0.613 (#109) AdjNet +2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.8 More → 0.613 (#109) AdjNet +2.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.628 (#88) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.597 (#89) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.668 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.662 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 203 | GP 2 More → 1142 (#81) RD 203 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.707 (#85) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ James Madison Dukes W 86 - 77
2026-11-07 vs Bellarmine Knights W 80 - 73
2026-11-14 @ Evansville Purple Aces - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Defiance Yellow Jackets - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Skaljac Luke Skaljac G 1 32.0 19.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 14.0 16 1 16.0 19.9 35.7 50.0 100.0 1.32 57.1 46.4
Evan Ipsaro Evan Ipsaro G 2 28.5 13.5 2.0 5.0 3.5 0.0 1.0 9.5 13.5 27 2 13.5 19.1 31.6 33.3 85.7 0.29 53.7 39.5
Almar Atlason Almar Atlason F 2 32.5 12.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 14.0 2.0 19 2 9.5 11.8 32.1 16.7 80.0 0.09 41.4 37.5
Justin Kirby Justin Kirby G 2 27.5 12.0 7.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 9.0 10.5 5 2 2.5 3.6 50.0 57.1 100.0 -0.44 63.6 61.1
Stevie Elam Stevie Elam G 2 24.5 11.5 5.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 9.0 11.5 - - - - 55.6 33.3 0 - 63.9 63.9
Kyle Waltz Kyle Waltz F 2 24.0 10.5 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 4.0 15.0 4 2 2.0 3.4 62.5 50.0 90.0 -0.41 84.7 75.0
Antwone Woolfolk Antwone Woolfolk F 2 25.0 7.5 7.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 3.5 12.5 26 2 13.0 20.7 71.4 0.0 83.3 1.41 77.8 71.4
Tyler Robbins Tyler Robbins F 2 11.0 5.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 4.5 4.5 -3 2 -1.5 -5.4 55.6 0.0 0 -0.06 55.6 55.6
Alan Horton Alan Horton F 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Blake Anderson Blake Anderson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Preston Copeland Preston Copeland F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Anthony Fresh Anthony Fresh G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Rich Rolf Rich Rolf F 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7 1 7.0 56.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.07 0.0 0.0
Leshawn Stowers Leshawn Stowers G 2 6.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Wright Ethan Wright F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Danny Kelly Danny Kelly F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jackson Kotecki Jackson Kotecki F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

123 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Elam19% Atlason33% Kirby33% Ipsaro50% Atlason38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Kirby25% Ipsaro46% Skaljac100% Atlason100% Atlason100% Atlason46% Atlason27% Ipsaro33%
Misses: who misses most here

Stevie ElamJustin KirbyAlmar AtlasonEvan IpsaroLuke Skaljac

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 31-43 72.1 62 Stevie Elam 19% (12 pts) Tyler Robbins 16% (10 pts) Justin Kirby 25% (3 misses) Luke Skaljac 25% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-19 31.6 12 Almar Atlason 33% (4 pts) Antwone Woolfolk 17% (2 pts) Evan Ipsaro 46% (6 misses) Justin Kirby 23% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-3 0.0 0 - - Luke Skaljac 100% (3 misses) -
Left corner 3 0-1 0.0 0 - - Almar Atlason 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Almar Atlason 100% (2 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 6-19 31.6 18 Justin Kirby 33% (6 pts) Stevie Elam 33% (6 pts) Almar Atlason 46% (6 misses) Evan Ipsaro 15% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-19 21.1 12 Evan Ipsaro 50% (6 pts) Kyle Waltz 25% (3 pts) Almar Atlason 27% (4 misses) Stevie Elam 27% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 8-17 47.1 24 Almar Atlason 38% (9 pts) Justin Kirby 25% (6 pts) Evan Ipsaro 33% (3 misses) Almar Atlason 22% (2 misses)