Methodist
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 914 (#387) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#365) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.5 (#283) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.768 (#327) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.608 (#200) | NetEff +2.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.245 (#472) | AdjNet -9.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.230 (#474) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.338 (#476) | AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 62.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 53 - 69 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 42 - 67 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 52 - 53 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Regent | W | 70 - 37 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Regent | W | 86 - 41 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Roanoke | L | 46 - 52 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Salem (NC) | W | 83 - 31 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Brevard | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Averett | W | 70 - 45 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Randolph | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Pfeiffer | W | 50 - 38 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Meredith | W | 63 - 34 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Brevard | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | JWU (Charlotte) | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Pfeiffer | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Salem (NC) | W | 48 - 42 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Greensboro | W | 45 - 36 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Greensboro | W | 64 - 32 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | William Peace | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 45 - 56 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Meredith | W | 53 - 35 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | William Peace | W | 80 - 45 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Pfeiffer | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 50 - 69 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiley Hicks | - | 25 | 21.7 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 6.8 | -47 | -1.9 | -2.8 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 73.2 | -0.21 | 46.5 | 43.7 |
| Melissa D'oleo | - | 2 | 23.5 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 37.5 | 11.1 | 83.3 | -0.12 | 48.3 | 40.6 |
| Kayleen Grullon | - | 27 | 15.9 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 46.3 | 30.8 | 57.4 | 0.21 | 51.6 | 49.7 |
| Jillian Peterson | - | 27 | 21.2 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 34.4 | 25.0 | 62.2 | 0.07 | 42.0 | 39.5 |
| Aneesa Irizarry | - | 26 | 25.5 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 9.2 | -24 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 45.1 | 0.0 | 51.4 | -0.07 | 48.3 | 45.1 |
| Arriana White | - | 21 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 17 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 41.9 | 17.4 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 45.7 | 44.2 |
| Alyssa Shazer | - | 26 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 36.0 | 30.7 | 0 | 0.03 | 47.5 | 47.5 |
| Rebecca Mcgaughnea | - | 2 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | -55 | -2.3 | -4.4 | 40.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.62 | 51.8 | 40.0 |
| Korin Gladden | - | 18 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 67.6 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.14 | 65.1 | 67.6 |
| Destiny Richardson | - | 27 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 44.9 | 53.3 | 58.3 | -0.04 | 54.3 | 53.1 |
| Tori Coleman | - | 21 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 37.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.6 | 40.5 | 39.2 |
| Eva Mcrae | - | 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -2.5 | 40 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.3 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Serenity Webb | - | 27 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 25.9 | 27.5 | 40.0 | -0.27 | 33.1 | 32.7 |
| Hannah Evans | - | 27 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 27.6 | 21.7 | 62.5 | 0.02 | 34.1 | 31.9 |
| Giavonna Dunlap | - | 27 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -109 | -3.9 | -7.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -0.33 | 26.1 | 20.0 |
| Tsion Steele | - | 26 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 14 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 45.5 | 0.11 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Jehari Jacobs | - | 26 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -17 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 16.7 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.93 | 25.4 | 16.7 |
| Elise Robbins | - | 16 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -20 | -4.0 | -2.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.07 | 36.3 | 41.7 |
| Aleigha Robinson | - | 21 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 11 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.15 | 15.5 | 16.7 |
| Carmin Davis | - | 22 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -28 | -5.6 | -6.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.62 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
| Kenya Atterbury | - | 8 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.26 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG