Methodist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 914 (#387) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 935 (#420) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 937 (#579) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.7 (#319) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.5 (#447) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.768 (#327) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.251 (#431) | NetEff -6.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.245 (#472) | AdjNet -9.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.230 (#474) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.338 (#476) | AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.349 (#577) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.316 (#515) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.323 (#517) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 890 (#427) | RD 104 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | L | 44 - 52 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Averett | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 45 - 69 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Mary Baldwin | W | 60 - 41 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Randolph | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Salem (NC) | W | 51 - 41 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Brevard | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Bethany (WV) | L | 52 - 65 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 20 - 56 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Salem (NC) | W | 69 - 42 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | William Peace | L | 54 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Greensboro | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Meredith | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mary Baldwin | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Brevard | L | 54 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arriana White | - | 5 | 20.7 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 26 | 1.4 | 20.5 | 40.9 | 50.0 | 71.9 | 0.75 | 55.1 | 46.6 |
| Korin Gladden | - | 17 | 25.0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 10.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 44.1 | 33.3 | 73.8 | - | 48.1 | 44.4 |
| Kayleen Grullon | - | 11 | 21.3 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 11.0 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 38.0 | 32.1 | 51.6 | - | 43.4 | 41.7 |
| Jada Richardson | - | 17 | 25.2 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 11.8 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0 | 67.4 | - | 49.3 | 45.5 |
| Miqushia Patterson | - | 4 | 22.2 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 19 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 31.4 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 0.92 | 39.0 | 40.0 |
| Taylor Watford | - | 17 | 20.9 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 6.4 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 40.4 | 0.0 | 56.4 | - | 43.6 | 40.4 |
| Nyleiah White | - | 14 | 16.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.0 | 0.1 | -25 | -1.6 | -72.8 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 57.7 | -3.19 | 40.7 | 37.8 |
| Giavonna Dunlap | - | 13 | 26.5 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 4.9 | 5.4 | -0.6 | - | - | - | 27.1 | 27.3 | 68.4 | - | 36.4 | 31.4 |
| Eva McRae | - | 14 | 15.7 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 40.3 | 0.0 | 42.1 | - | 41.2 | 40.3 |
| Tori Coleman | - | 12 | 21.5 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 8.3 | 66.7 | - | 23.1 | 20.8 |
| Jehari Jacobs | - | 17 | 18.7 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 214 | 10.7 | 55.8 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 43.8 | 4.14 | 46.2 | 45.5 |
| Elise Robbins | - | 17 | 18.3 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 37.5 | - | 19.7 | 16.7 |
| Kenya Atterbury | - | 5 | 8.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| Nyliah Bryant | - | 6 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 6.3 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG