Messiah
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1112 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1214 (#20) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.6 (#65) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.921 (#221) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.984 (#18) | NetEff +29.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.926 (#192) | AdjNet +21.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.924 (#196) | AdjNet +21.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.738 (#213) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 53.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | @ | DeSales | W | 61 - 46 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 52 - 38 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Rowan | W | 60 - 44 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 54 - 48 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Mary Washington | W | 66 - 40 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Dickinson | W | 52 - 36 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Juniata | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Catholic | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Husson | W | 56 - 39 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Albright | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Hood | W | 59 - 44 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Alvernia | W | 71 - 24 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | York (PA) | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Widener | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Eastern | W | 71 - 40 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Stevenson | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Hood | W | 70 - 43 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Alvernia | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Albright | W | 68 - 43 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Widener | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | York (PA) | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Stevenson | W | 60 - 31 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Eastern | W | 71 - 37 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Albright | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Widener | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 72 - 76 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REESE HARDEN | - | 1 | 44.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 157 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 78.6 | 0.92 | 57.0 | 42.9 |
| LIV MONTURO | - | 1 | 37.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 158 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.35 | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| CHLOE MILANESI | - | 1 | 44.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 194 | 7.2 | 8.5 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.59 | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| EMMYFAITH WOOD | - | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 76 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 45.0 | 43.8 |
| HOPE COOK | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | 89 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.55 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| SYDNEY HOFFMAN | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 74 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| CHARLOTTE MILANESI | - | 1 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 210 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.25 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| RAEGAN FOGARTY | - | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 69 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.2 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Lydia Ehst | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -20 | -1.2 | -18.4 | 42.9 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.28 | 51.4 | 42.9 |
| Unity Miller | - | 26 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Isabella Ipri | - | 24 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| BROOKE FENCHEL | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| JUSTINE FORBES | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 10 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AINSLEY BELL | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Patricia Monroe | - | 15 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| EMMA FETTERMAN | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -23 | -1.8 | -10.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG