Messiah
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1112 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1214 (#20) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.7 (#72) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 70 - 47 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | TCNJ | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Dickinson | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2023-11-30 | @ | Misericordia | W | 57 - 42 |
| 2023-12-01 | vs | Salisbury | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | DeSales | L | 46 - 64 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 54 - 48 |
| 2023-12-18 | @ | Albion | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 36 - 62 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Albright | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Hood | W | 59 - 47 |
| 2024-01-08 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Alvernia | W | 79 - 57 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | York (PA) | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Widener | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Eastern | W | 55 - 53 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Stevenson | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Hood | W | 49 - 25 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Alvernia | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Albright | W | 70 - 46 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Widener | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | York (PA) | W | 52 - 39 |
| 2024-02-13 | vs | Stevenson | W | 53 - 38 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Eastern | W | 48 - 43 |
| 2024-02-21 | vs | Alvernia | W | 69 - 45 |
| 2024-02-24 | vs | Widener | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2024-03-01 | @ | Shenandoah | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ | Smith | L | 61 - 69 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORGAN ADAMS | - | 4 | 35.0 | 18.8 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 13.2 | 13.8 | 37 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 52.8 | 0 | 82.6 | 0.2 | 59.4 | 52.8 |
| REESE HARDEN | - | 4 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 13.5 | 10.0 | 16 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 38.9 | 42.9 | 94.1 | -0.02 | 52.0 | 44.4 |
| CHLOE MILANESI | - | 4 | 37.0 | 11.0 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 11.8 | 39 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 40.0 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 55.8 | 48.6 |
| CHARLOTTE MILANESI | - | 4 | 35.2 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.2 | -23 | -1.5 | -1.5 | 50.0 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.03 | 53.6 | 52.3 |
| SYDNEY HOFFMAN | - | 4 | 22.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 3.8 | -3 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 49.3 | 45.5 |
| LIV MONTURO | - | 2 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | -68 | -4.5 | -5.8 | 28.6 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.45 | 28.5 | 28.6 |
| KIARA BOMBOY | - | 4 | 11.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.03 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| HOPE COOK | - | 3 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -42 | -2.8 | -5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.25 | 19.3 | 0.0 |
| Izzy Ipri | - | 24 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 57.9 | 66.7 |
| Emma Fetterman | - | 24 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 11.3 | 0.0 |
| RAEGAN FOGARTY | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| AINSLEY BELL | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -40 | -4.0 | -11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0 | 0 |
| EMMYFAITH WOOD | - | 3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -39 | -2.8 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justine Forbes | - | 19 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| EMMY FAITH WOOD | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -39 | -2.8 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG