Messiah
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 929 (#394) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 904 (#379) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.5 (#359) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.168 (#693) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.108 (#484) | NetEff -18.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.087 (#658) | AdjNet -20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.083 (#656) | AdjNet -20.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.206 (#652) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 82.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Maine Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Elizabethtown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | McDaniel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Haverford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-28 | @ | Oberlin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Moravian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Albright | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Hood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Alvernia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | York (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Widener | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Eastern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Stevenson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Hood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Alvernia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Albright | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Widener | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | York (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Stevenson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Eastern | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
No roster data available for this season.