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Merrimack Warriors

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2016-2017
Also known as: Merrimack Warriors
Program History
Coach: Missy Traversi

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

43.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
-26.0
Margin
34.1%
FG%
20.6%
3P%
60.7%
FT%
38.0
RPG
7.0
APG
32.0
TO
76.7
Est. poss./game
52.0
Adj PPG
60.1
Adj Opp PPG
#279
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 863 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1033, returning -99, transfers -71, freshmen +0 More → 845 (#264) Preseason prior 863 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1033, returning -99, transfers -71, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +215 elo More → 895 (#253) HCA +215 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +215 elo More → 942 (#257) HCA +215 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More → -11.3 (#291) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More → -11.0 (#291) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.069 (#313) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.0 More → 0.216 (#321) AdjNet -23.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.8 More → 0.211 (#321) AdjNet -22.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.320 (#279) AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 60.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.347 (#290) AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 60.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.266 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 200 | GP 2 More → 870 (#262) RD 200 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More → 0.217 (#253) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Florida State Seminoles L 51 - 81
2026-11-05 @ NJIT Highlanders L 35 - 57
2026-11-08 vs Maine Black Bears - Preview
2026-11-12 @ Villanova Wildcats - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Claudia Crespo Claudia Crespo G 2 30.5 9.0 5.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 3.0 6.5 8.0 -4 2 -2.0 -10.4 46.2 50.0 62.5 -1.07 54.5 50.0
Naomi Wilson Naomi Wilson F 2 20.5 8.0 11.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 5.0 7.5 10.0 -1 2 -0.5 -5.4 53.3 0 0.0 -0.61 50.4 53.3
Olivia Borsutzki Olivia Borsutzki G 2 25.5 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 7.0 6.5 1.0 -1 2 -0.5 -2.6 38.5 16.7 75.0 -0.4 47.4 42.3
Kristen Kelley Kristen Kelley G 2 29.5 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 7.5 1.0 - - - - 26.7 20.0 100.0 - 37.8 33.3
Jamie Kent Jamie Kent F 2 30.5 5.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 3.0 -13 2 -6.5 -29.8 28.6 16.7 33.3 -2.38 32.6 32.1
Joi Williams Joi Williams G 2 31.5 5.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 5.5 -3.0 -11 2 -5.5 -28.1 18.2 20.0 100.0 -2.7 37.9 22.7
Claudia Marina Claudia Marina F 2 13.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 2.5 -0.5 -5 2 -2.5 -20.7 40.0 50.0 0 -3.15 50.0 50.0
Csenge Szomszed Csenge Szomszed F 2 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2 2 1.0 16.4 0.0 0 25.0 -0.13 18.1 0.0
Mia Carmody Mia Carmody G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Emma Dibarboure Emma Dibarboure F 2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 -0.5 -1 1 -1.0 -13.3 0.0 0 0 -2.01 0.0 0.0
Abriel Grant-Caracas Abriel Grant-Caracas G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2 2 1.0 26.2 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Samantha Grella Samantha Grella G 2 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -6 2 -3.0 -33.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.39 0.0 0.0
Kelsey Miller Kelsey Miller C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jenna Mishou Jenna Mishou F 2 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 -1.5 -12 2 -6.0 -53.6 0.0 0.0 0 -3.05 0.0 0.0
Olivia Vick Olivia Vick G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

90 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Crespo25% Wilson33% Wilson100% Kent100% Crespo33% Marina50% Kelley100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Crespo50% Wilson27% Crespo67% Kent67% Borsutzki67% Mishou50% Kelley40% Borsutzki67% Kent25%
Misses: who misses most here

Naomi WilsonClaudia CrespoOlivia BorsutzkiKristen KelleyJamie KentClaudia MarinaJenna Mishou

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 8-12 66.7 16 Claudia Crespo 25% (4 pts) Naomi Wilson 25% (4 pts) Claudia Crespo 50% (2 misses) Emma Dibarboure 25% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 15-37 40.5 30 Naomi Wilson 33% (10 pts) Claudia Crespo 20% (6 pts) Naomi Wilson 27% (6 misses) Joi Williams 18% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 0-3 0.0 0 - - Claudia Crespo 67% (2 misses) Kristen Kelley 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-3 0.0 0 - - Jamie Kent 67% (2 misses) Naomi Wilson 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-1 100.0 2 Naomi Wilson 100% (2 pts) - - -
Left corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Jamie Kent 100% (3 pts) - Olivia Borsutzki 67% (2 misses) Jamie Kent 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Claudia Crespo 33% (3 pts) Joi Williams 33% (3 pts) Jenna Mishou 50% (1 misses) Samantha Grella 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 2-17 11.8 6 Claudia Marina 50% (3 pts) Olivia Borsutzki 50% (3 pts) Kristen Kelley 40% (6 misses) Jamie Kent 20% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-3 0.0 0 - - Olivia Borsutzki 67% (2 misses) Kristen Kelley 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 1-5 20.0 3 Kristen Kelley 100% (3 pts) - Jamie Kent 25% (1 misses) Joi Williams 25% (1 misses)