🐻⬇️🏀

Mercy

Also known as: Mercy
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1084 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1107 (#76) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +3.2 (#172) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.636 (#308) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.8 More → 0.826 (#103) NetEff +11.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.478 (#416) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.483 (#418) AdjNet -0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.506 (#404) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 61.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ Providence L 32 - 64
2024-11-09 vs Saint Anselm W 67 - 65
2024-11-10 @ Southern Conn. St. L 62 - 77
2024-11-17 vs Pace L 58 - 63
2024-11-20 vs Dominican (NY) L 67 - 69
2024-11-23 @ Caldwell W 74 - 63
2024-11-26 @ Bridgeport W 75 - 55
2024-12-01 vs Assumption L 60 - 63
2024-12-06 vs Roberts Wesleyan W 67 - 45
2024-12-10 vs Goldey-Beacom W 68 - 50
2024-12-13 @ D'Youville W 64 - 50
2024-12-15 @ Daemen L 44 - 58
2024-12-21 @ Post W 71 - 60
2025-01-02 vs East Stroudsburg W 68 - 62
2025-01-08 vs Staten Island L 58 - 60
2025-01-11 vs Dist. Columbia W 80 - 66
2025-01-15 vs Queens (NY) W 57 - 51
2025-01-18 @ Molloy L 56 - 67
2025-01-25 vs St. Thomas Aquinas W 65 - 50
2025-01-31 @ Roberts Wesleyan W 48 - 29
2025-02-07 vs D'Youville W 55 - 38
2025-02-09 vs Daemen L 40 - 56
2025-02-12 @ Staten Island L 49 - 63
2025-02-15 @ Dist. Columbia W 65 - 59
2025-02-19 @ Queens (NY) W 77 - 47
2025-02-22 vs Molloy W 65 - 58
2025-03-01 @ St. Thomas Aquinas W 82 - 65
2025-03-05 vs Dist. Columbia W 73 - 49
2025-03-08 @ Staten Island L 58 - 60

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Angelina Barrera - 29 33.9 13.2 6.5 2.6 0.9 1.1 2.9 9.0 12.4 180 5.0 4.9 49.4 0.0 73.5 0.81 57.0 49.4
Amani Abuhatab - 29 26.8 11.6 5.3 1.3 1.1 0.2 2.4 8.4 8.6 164 4.4 5.2 47.8 38.7 76.2 0.49 57.9 52.7
Jaclyn Stanavich - 19 27.1 11.6 4.5 1.6 1.6 0.2 2.2 11.1 6.3 54 3.6 3.5 43.1 30.4 71.4 0.2 48.8 46.4
Grace Lesko - 29 25.8 11.0 6.4 1.8 1.1 0.7 2.2 10.1 8.5 145 3.5 4.0 40.6 28.6 80.6 0.54 49.0 44.4
Molly Boek - 29 16.0 5.4 3.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.5 4.3 4.2 62 1.6 3.1 42.9 23.3 62.1 0.22 50.3 45.6
Kayla Halvorsen - 29 20.5 3.8 2.2 1.8 0.3 0.1 1.6 3.8 2.9 70 2.6 4.0 33.9 29.8 83.3 0.27 47.7 45.4
Caitlin Leary - 29 19.0 2.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.2 2.9 2.0 99 2.5 4.8 31.8 29.4 87.5 0.53 45.1 40.6
Morgan Miller - 29 13.9 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.0 62 1.1 1.8 33.3 23.1 68.8 0.12 42.7 35.5
Megan Marcotte - 26 9.3 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.0 53 1.5 2.9 37.5 0.0 57.1 0.08 40.2 37.5
Paige Fourtin - 29 9.8 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.3 51 1.5 4.5 29.6 32.0 70.0 0.29 40.2 37.0
Kyla Nembach - 5 6.8 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.8 -0.2 2 0.2 0.2 33.3 50.0 0 -0.19 44.4 44.4
Layla Greene - 29 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 33 1.4 9.7 30.0 14.3 50.0 0.4 38.3 35.0
Sophia Hoyt - 27 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 35 1.4 3.5 50.0 50.0 0 0.39 62.5 62.5
Gabrielle Martin - 21 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -41 -3.4 -8.6 0.0 0 50.0 -0.38 26.6 0.0
Victoria Pfeffer - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG