Mercy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1048 (#139) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1060 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 1035 (#181) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +0.5 (#217) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | -1.3 (#385) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.636 (#308) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.935 (#118) | NetEff +16.8 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.778 (#198) | NetEff +9.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.478 (#416) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.483 (#418) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.506 (#404) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.540 (#269) | AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 56.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.523 (#336) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.528 (#326) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 1041 (#212) | RD 97 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Iona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Sacred Heart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Florida Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Mushat | - | 1 | 36.3 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | -116 | -6.8 | -33.2 | 47.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.8 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Aniyah Jones | - | 1 | 38.6 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -88 | -5.2 | -23.2 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.59 | 62.0 | 57.1 |
| Grace Lesko | - | 19 | 34.1 | 18.4 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 14.4 | 11.9 | 147 | 6.4 | 34.9 | 42.7 | 28.7 | 81.8 | 2.95 | 54.1 | 47.3 |
| Amani Abuhatab | - | 18 | 29.2 | 13.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 98 | 4.5 | 27.2 | 40.1 | 27.2 | 87.5 | 0.56 | 51.6 | 45.3 |
| Angelina Barrera | - | 10 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 12.0 | 123 | 8.8 | 73.8 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 1.48 | 55.0 | 48.7 |
| Morgan Miller | - | 19 | 19.5 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 2.3 | -25 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 40.6 | 10.0 | 73.5 | -0.84 | 48.9 | 41.1 |
| Sophia Hoyt | - | 19 | 23.5 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 8.8 | 128 | 5.6 | 70.7 | 42.0 | 25.0 | 74.5 | 1.62 | 55.8 | 45.7 |
| Kyla Nembach | - | 16 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 57 | 2.9 | 16.4 | 31.4 | 36.4 | 58.8 | -0.93 | 42.6 | 40.0 |
| Tierra Hendricks | - | 1 | 31.6 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -119 | -7.0 | -39.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -3.04 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Megan Marcotte | - | 18 | 15.8 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 48 | 2.3 | 21.2 | 40.0 | 0 | 70.0 | 0.23 | 42.7 | 40.0 |
| Gabrielle Martin | - | 12 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 14 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 7.1 | 80.0 | -1.65 | 35.4 | 33.0 |
| Molly Boek | - | 18 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 41.3 | 25.0 | 58.8 | -3.19 | 46.7 | 43.5 |
| Cristina Gonzalez | - | 1 | 14.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -83 | -4.9 | -34.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Erin Frazier | - | 1 | 16.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -42 | -2.5 | -12.1 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.38 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Allie Regan | - | 8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 80.0 | 0 | - | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Caitlin Leary | - | 19 | 11.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 62 | 2.8 | 41.5 | 30.8 | 21.7 | 50.0 | 2.14 | 37.6 | 37.2 |
| Haylee Ellwood | - | 14 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 30 | 1.8 | 52.2 | 38.5 | 37.5 | 83.3 | -0.71 | 62.9 | 50.0 |
| Paige Fourtin | - | 13 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 102 | 6.4 | 1761.2 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 5.68 | 36.3 | 37.5 |
| Layla Greene | - | 11 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.6 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Renee Anglin | - | 1 | 27.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -108 | -6.4 | -40.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ariana Lynch | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -27 | -2.7 | -139.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maria Ferrer Brao | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -48 | -3.7 | -38.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarah Seyfang | - | 1 | 19.8 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -43 | -2.7 | -19.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Barbora FroΕkovΓ‘ | - | 1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Granada | - | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -75 | -5.4 | -79.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ella Wilson | - | 4 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG