Mercy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 678 (#543) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 657 (#543) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 772 (#599) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.1 (#346) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.2 (#495) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.129 (#516) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.969 (#141) | NetEff +30.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.104 (#617) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.102 (#616) | AdjNet -18.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.199 (#627) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 88.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.247 (#566) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#547) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#560) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 617 (#515) | RD 114 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Jefferson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Chestnut Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Bryant | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Allen | - | 1 | 22.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 78.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 5.85 | 80.6 | 78.6 |
| Kohen Rowbatham | - | 16 | 36.0 | 21.9 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 19.7 | 6.9 | -114 | -6.7 | -46.0 | 41.9 | 33.7 | 64.4 | 1.15 | 49.4 | 46.3 |
| Tre Powell | - | 1 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -1.15 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Oliver Spence | - | 1 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | -87 | -7.2 | -65.1 | 53.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.25 | 53.5 | 53.3 |
| Amari Dow | - | 1 | 30.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | -113 | -7.1 | -26.5 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.72 | 66.6 | 68.2 |
| TJ Holloway | - | 16 | 34.5 | 15.2 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 13.5 | 6.9 | -112 | -5.9 | -42.2 | 35.6 | 30.4 | 80.2 | -1.91 | 48.1 | 40.5 |
| Jordan Trahan | - | 14 | 33.4 | 15.2 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 12.3 | 12.1 | -67 | -4.5 | -25.7 | 44.2 | 25.0 | 55.3 | 1.3 | 49.9 | 46.8 |
| Michael Harrell | - | 1 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -106 | -8.8 | -75.9 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -4.9 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
| Arthur Roache | - | 1 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | -47 | -3.9 | -33.4 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.88 | 43.5 | 40.0 |
| Alejandro Cybak | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | -172 | -10.1 | -35.3 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.54 | 46.5 | 44.4 |
| Landon Shivers | - | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 3.05 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Tyler Spencer | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -60 | -3.8 | -20.3 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.62 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.96 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kevon Corley | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -62 | -4.8 | -77.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.19 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Malcolm Day | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 3.43 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
| Ashton Pratt | - | 16 | 25.6 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 3.2 | -131 | -7.3 | -54.9 | 35.5 | 30.6 | 66.7 | -4.86 | 43.1 | 40.7 |
| Derek Long | - | 7 | 14.3 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 1.7 | -60 | -7.5 | -543.4 | 40.0 | 43.8 | 100.0 | -1.67 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.0 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Julian Williams | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.59 | 25.4 | 28.6 |
| David Pope | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -44 | -4.4 | -145.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Christopher Nana | - | 16 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 4.0 | -40 | -2.2 | -26.4 | 59.5 | 33.3 | 87.5 | 0.47 | 64.2 | 60.8 |
| Adrian Vazquez | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Tyrell Miller | - | 16 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -60 | -3.3 | -31.5 | 48.9 | 0 | 20.0 | -2.06 | 45.5 | 48.9 |
| Joshua Naklen | - | 15 | 10.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.0 | -34 | -2.0 | -25.3 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 90.0 | 0.41 | 37.7 | 31.0 |
| Daniel Boateng | - | 14 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 | -68 | -4.5 | -60.4 | 36.4 | 18.2 | 73.3 | -2.27 | 50.7 | 40.9 |
| Christopher Smith | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -31 | -6.2 | -58.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.74 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Cam Burns | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -6.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| James Connolly | - | 16 | 11.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | -65 | -3.4 | -33.1 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 45.5 | -3.66 | 40.7 | 39.1 |
| Jeffrey Mulhern | - | 17 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | -39 | -2.1 | -40.5 | 26.3 | 23.1 | 57.1 | -0.75 | 32.9 | 30.3 |
| Thomas Mandell | - | 9 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | -16 | -1.8 | -45.4 | 37.5 | 60.0 | 0 | -0.88 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Keith Brown | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.92 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG