Mercer
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 683 (#293) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 772 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 886 (#291) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#297) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.8 (#302) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.132 (#307) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.108 (#296) | AdjNet -18.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.105 (#296) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.253 (#298) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.295 (#307) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.199 (#300) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.206 (#300) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 769 (#290) | RD 177 | GP 28 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-16 | vs | Howard | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2001-11-17 | @ | Minnesota | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2001-11-23 | N | Hawaii | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2001-11-24 | N | South Carolina State | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2001-11-25 | N | Louisiana State | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2001-11-29 | vs | Samford | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Jacksonville State | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2001-12-06 | @ | Georgia State | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 69 - 92 |
| 2001-12-28 | @ | Iowa | L | 43 - 77 |
| 2001-12-30 | @ | South Carolina | L | 52 - 88 |
| 2002-01-02 | @ | Campbell | L | 76 - 77 |
| 2002-01-07 | @ | Belmont | L | 65 - 87 |
| 2002-01-10 | vs | Florida Atlantic | L | 73 - 94 |
| 2002-01-12 | vs | UCF | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2002-01-17 | @ | Jacksonville | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2002-01-19 | @ | Stetson | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2002-01-23 | @ | Troy | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2002-01-26 | vs | Jacksonville | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2002-01-28 | vs | Stetson | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2002-02-02 | @ | UCF | L | 53 - 86 |
| 2002-02-04 | @ | Florida Atlantic | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2002-02-07 | vs | Belmont | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2002-02-11 | vs | Troy | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2002-02-14 | vs | Georgia State | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | Campbell | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2002-02-21 | @ | Jacksonville State | L | 68 - 95 |
| 2002-02-23 | @ | Samford | L | 49 - 69 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.