🐻⬇️🏀

Mercer

Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

81.5
PPG
75.8
Opp
+5.7
Margin
45.7%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
37.1
RPG
13.5
APG
10.3
TO
81.9
Pace
77.5
AdjO
79.3
AdjD
#185
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#185) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 964 (#217) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1004 (#179) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -1.7 (#188) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +13.6 (#173) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.585 (#122) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.2 More → 0.844 (#63) NetEff +17.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.9 More → 0.416 (#196) AdjNet -2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.415 (#196) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.460 (#185) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 79.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.605 (#113) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.745 (#180) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.713 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 30 More → 1028 (#213) RD 148 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 61 - 76
2025-11-05 vs LaGrange Panthers W 101 - 62
2025-11-09 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 92 - 77
2025-11-15 @ Winthrop Eagles L 69 - 105
2025-11-22 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 95 - 83
2025-11-26 vs App State Mountaineers W 75 - 67
2025-11-29 @ Elon Phoenix W 91 - 84
2025-12-02 vs Georgia State Panthers W 78 - 67
2025-12-13 @ Clemson Tigers L 63 - 70
2025-12-17 @ UCF Knights L 63 - 81
2025-12-20 @ Washington State Cougars L 78 - 84
2025-12-28 vs Baptist (Fl) Eagles W 122 - 49
2025-12-31 @ Furman Paladins L 72 - 74
2026-01-03 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 71 - 77
2026-01-07 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 101 - 63
2026-01-10 vs Wofford Terriers W 109 - 97
2026-01-15 @ VMI Keydets W 77 - 67
2026-01-21 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 88 - 76
2026-01-24 @ Wofford Terriers L 77 - 80
2026-01-29 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 95 - 77
2026-01-31 vs VMI Keydets W 95 - 81
2026-02-05 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 75 - 79
2026-02-07 @ Samford Bulldogs L 49 - 69
2026-02-11 vs Furman Paladins W 69 - 64
2026-02-14 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 70 - 54
2026-02-19 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 90 - 94
2026-02-21 vs Samford Bulldogs W 89 - 86
2026-02-25 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 74 - 78
2026-02-28 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 82 - 76
2026-03-07 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 73 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Okojie B. Okojie G 30 34.1 19.5 3.1 5.4 1.4 0.1 2.7 13.1 13.7 75 3.4 5.7 43.1 32.8 82.0 -0.3 58.1 48.0
Z. Williams Z. Williams - 30 28.9 13.0 3.3 1.6 1.4 0.1 1.3 10.2 7.9 158 6.1 14.4 43.3 36.2 82.6 0.74 58.0 54.4
A. Mighty A. Mighty - 30 31.4 13.0 10.5 1.1 0.6 1.7 1.6 8.2 17.1 191 8.3 15.1 62.9 0.0 54.4 1.09 62.6 62.9
B. Shoulders B. Shoulders G 28 30.7 9.4 6.9 1.8 1.7 0.2 1.4 7.5 11.2 29 1.3 2.3 43.3 32.5 70.9 -0.1 53.7 49.3
Q. Perkins II Q. Perkins II - 26 24.0 9.1 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 1.1 7.3 5.0 65 3.4 7.6 43.5 41.4 84.6 -0.15 58.3 56.0
K. Cuffe Jr. K. Cuffe Jr. G 29 16.3 7.0 1.7 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.8 6.4 2.7 120 7.1 12.0 38.0 32.7 75.0 0.82 50.0 47.1
C. Serven C. Serven F 26 21.2 6.4 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 4.7 7.2 97 5.1 17.1 55.4 33.3 67.6 0.24 60.8 58.7
T. Gross T. Gross - 26 13.5 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.1 3.4 69 3.1 12.4 46.2 42.5 75.0 0.18 58.6 56.9
Jaydon Cole Jaydon Cole - 6 5.0 3.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.8 2.5 31 4.4 193.8 41.2 30.8 50.0 0.03 53.1 52.9
B. Pierre B. Pierre - 20 8.4 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.2 1.0 29 1.7 16.1 31.2 25.6 60.0 -0.55 41.7 39.8
B. Carlsen B. Carlsen - 7 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 3.1 0.9 31 4.4 148.8 27.3 20.0 100.0 0.03 37.2 34.1
A. Koch A. Koch F 4 3.2 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.0 6 1.2 83.2 100.0 0 0 0.03 100.0 100.0
Pero Zubac Pero Zubac - 6 3.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.7 22 3.7 137.5 75.0 0 0.0 0.03 56.4 75.0
TJ Grant TJ Grant G 7 5.6 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 36 6.0 133.7 25.0 0 100.0 -0.01 52.1 25.0
P. Padegimas P. Padegimas F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
NJ Nganga NJ Nganga G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG