Mercer Bears
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#173) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1055 (#172) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.3 (#242) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.198 (#360) | - |
2006 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-11-18 | @ | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L | 56 - 85 |
| 2005-11-21 | vs | Cal Poly Mustangs | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2005-11-25 | @ | Vermont Catamounts | L | 43 - 64 |
| 2005-11-26 | @ | Pacific Tigers | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2005-12-03 | @ | Campbell Fighting Camels | L | 47 - 54 |
| 2005-12-05 | @ | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | L | 49 - 74 |
| 2005-12-15 | @ | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | W | 51 - 49 |
| 2005-12-19 | vs | New Orleans Privateers | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2005-12-29 | @ | Florida A&M Rattlers | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2006-01-02 | vs | Florida Atlantic Owls | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2006-01-05 | @ | Stetson Hatters | W | 53 - 44 |
| 2006-01-12 | vs | Lipscomb Bisons | W | 50 - 46 |
| 2006-01-14 | vs | Belmont Bruins | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2006-01-19 | @ | Jacksonville Dolphins | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2006-01-21 | @ | North Florida Ospreys | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2006-01-26 | vs | Kennesaw State Owls | W | 69 - 55 |
| 2006-01-28 | vs | East Tennessee State Bucs | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2006-02-02 | @ | Belmont Bruins | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2006-02-04 | @ | Lipscomb Bisons | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2006-02-10 | vs | Stetson Hatters | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2006-02-12 | @ | Florida Atlantic Owls | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2006-02-16 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2006-02-18 | vs | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2006-02-23 | @ | East Tennessee State Bucs | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2006-02-26 | @ | Kennesaw State Owls | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2006-03-02 | vs | Jacksonville Dolphins | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2006-03-04 | vs | North Florida Ospreys | W | 49 - 41 |
| 2006-03-09 | @ | East Tennessee State Bucs | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2006-03-10 | @ | Florida Atlantic Owls | L | 65 - 70 |
2006 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Cruz
|
- | 4 | 33.2 | 18.0 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 56.0 | 38.9 | 75.0 | - | 65.1 | 63.0 |
K. Dinkins
|
- | 4 | 35.8 | 17.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 14.0 | 7.2 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 23.8 | 73.3 | - | 51.3 | 43.8 |
M. Waters
|
- | 2 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 33.3 | 83.3 | - | 61.1 | 55.9 |
S. Dolan
|
- | 2 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 40.0 | - | 70.4 | 75.0 |
W. Emerson
|
- | 4 | 36.8 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 8.8 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 16.7 | 66.7 | - | 45.9 | 41.4 |
R. Alacqua
|
- | 4 | 25.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 31.0 | 32.0 | 100.0 | - | 48.8 | 44.8 |
S. Aaron
|
G | 4 | 14.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 47.2 | 46.7 |
B. Pfohl
|
- | 4 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 0 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
C. Skogen
|
- | 2 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | - | 105.4 | 125.0 |
M. Slonaker
|
G | 2 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 133.0 | 150.0 |
H. Pervan
|
- | 3 | 14.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 16.9 | 15.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG