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Mercer Bears

Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#171) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#186) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +14.3 (#241) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.198 (#360) -

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 @ Memphis Tigers L 40 - 54
2004-11-23 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 59 - 47
2004-11-26 @ SMU Mustangs L 77 - 99
2004-11-27 @ McNeese Cowgirls W 73 - 67
2004-12-02 @ Troy Trojans L 50 - 64
2004-12-15 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 50 - 73
2004-12-29 vs Murray State Racers L 61 - 73
2004-12-30 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 59 - 73
2005-01-03 vs Georgia State Panthers W 67 - 56
2005-01-06 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 65 - 54
2005-01-08 @ Stetson Hatters L 62 - 64
2005-01-13 vs Belmont Bruins W 79 - 77
2005-01-15 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 51 - 56
2005-01-20 @ UCF Knights L 45 - 60
2005-01-22 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 55 - 59
2005-01-27 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 62 - 41
2005-01-29 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 63 - 48
2005-02-02 @ Georgia State Panthers L 46 - 64
2005-02-05 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 58 - 60
2005-02-07 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 67 - 57
2005-02-10 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 74 - 71
2005-02-12 vs UCF Knights L 59 - 64
2005-02-17 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 47 - 54
2005-02-19 @ Belmont Bruins L 70 - 74
2005-02-24 vs Stetson Hatters W 66 - 56
2005-02-26 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 60 - 48
2005-03-03 vs Troy Trojans W 71 - 66
2005-03-10 @ UCF Knights L 59 - 65

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. McDonnell E. McDonnell - 3 25.7 17.0 5.3 0.7 1.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 9.0 - - - 44.4 24.0 76.5 - 58.6 52.8
W. Emerson W. Emerson - 3 33.0 13.7 8.7 1.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 12.3 11.0 - - - 45.9 20.0 46.2 - 48.0 47.3
W. Duke W. Duke - 3 31.3 11.3 10.7 1.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 8.0 18.0 - - - 50.0 0 55.6 - 53.3 50.0
R. Alacqua R. Alacqua - 3 16.3 9.7 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 6.3 4.7 - - - 52.6 43.8 100.0 - 72.9 71.1
K. Dinkins K. Dinkins - 3 28.3 8.7 4.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 -0.7 - - - 24.2 20.0 70.0 - 34.8 28.8
D. Coleman D. Coleman - 3 31.3 6.0 4.3 5.7 3.0 0.0 3.7 5.0 10.3 - - - 46.7 33.3 37.5 - 48.6 50.0
A. Walker A. Walker - 2 9.5 5.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 33.3 - 63.7 75.0
S. Dolan S. Dolan - 3 10.0 5.0 1.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 - - - 85.7 0 75.0 - 85.6 85.7
T. McCurry T. McCurry - 3 11.7 2.3 0.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 4.7 - - - 50.0 33.3 50.0 - 60.8 62.5
S. Aaron S. Aaron G 2 6.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
M. Slonaker M. Slonaker G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
K. Cruz K. Cruz - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Pfohl B. Pfohl - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG