Mercer
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 897 (#229) | Preseason prior 856 (returning production + recruiting): last season 975, returning -58, transfers -62, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 922 (#237) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 924 (#237) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.6 (#302) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.6 (#299) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.278 (#216) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.310 (#250) | AdjNet -7.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.319 (#242) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.335 (#262) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.336 (#261) | AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#222) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.316 (#238) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | North Greenville Trailblazers | W | 69 - 41 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Georgia Southern Eagles | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L | 51 - 77 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 54 - 45 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ada Anamekwe
|
F | 4 | 27.0 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 11.0 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 48.1 | 0 | 70.0 | -0.21 | 58.5 | 48.1 |
Micah O'Dell
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 6.8 | 25 | 4 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 46.9 | 42.9 | 80.0 | -0.82 | 58.3 | 51.6 |
Abigail Holtman
|
G | 4 | 30.2 | 11.0 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 39 | 4 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 39.5 | 28.6 | 88.9 | 3.49 | 52.4 | 47.4 |
Maliyah Lofton
|
G | 4 | 19.2 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 21 | 4 | 5.2 | 10.8 | 51.9 | 42.9 | 85.7 | 0.64 | 66.5 | 63.0 |
Jala Wilson
|
F | 4 | 19.2 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.8 | -1 | 4 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 57.1 | -0.82 | 33.2 | 25.0 |
Kimora Jenkins
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 35.7 | 44.4 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
JahNaesia Spiers
|
F | 4 | 14.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | -0.5 | -18 | 4 | -4.5 | -12.5 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -6.7 | 29.1 | 27.8 |
Avani Tella
|
G | 4 | 22.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 6.6 | 27.3 | 14.3 | 80.0 | -0.25 | 41.7 | 31.8 |
Rachel Shropshire
|
F | 4 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | -3.14 | 68.2 | 0 |
Ariadna Pastor Gusta
|
G | 3 | 10.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -5.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.48 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Vicky Ubi Okoi
|
F | 3 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Kaylen Kenney
|
F | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -4.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Anaiah White
|
G | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -9 | 2 | -4.5 | -63.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.64 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
201 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Abigail HoltmanMaliyah LoftonMicah O'DellAda AnamekweKimora JenkinsJala Wilson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 30-58 | 51.7 | 60 | Ada Anamekwe 20% (12 pts) | Abigail Holtman 17% (10 pts) | Jala Wilson 43% (12 misses) | Ada Anamekwe 18% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 20-57 | 35.1 | 40 | Ada Anamekwe 30% (12 pts) | Micah O'Dell 20% (8 pts) | Ada Anamekwe 19% (7 misses) | Jala Wilson 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-9 | 55.6 | 10 | Micah O'Dell 80% (8 pts) | JahNaesia Spiers 20% (2 pts) | Micah O'Dell 75% (3 misses) | JahNaesia Spiers 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Micah O'Dell 43% (3 misses) | Abigail Holtman 14% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Abigail Holtman 33% (2 pts) | Ada Anamekwe 33% (2 pts) | Ada Anamekwe 40% (2 misses) | Maliyah Lofton 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Abigail Holtman 33% (3 pts) | Kimora Jenkins 33% (3 pts) | Maliyah Lofton 40% (2 misses) | Ariadna Pastor Gusta 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Abigail Holtman 50% (6 pts) | Maliyah Lofton 25% (3 pts) | Abigail Holtman 50% (2 misses) | Ariadna Pastor Gusta 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-22 | 22.7 | 15 | Maliyah Lofton 60% (9 pts) | Abigail Holtman 20% (3 pts) | Abigail Holtman 29% (5 misses) | Maliyah Lofton 29% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Abigail Holtman 50% (3 pts) | Kimora Jenkins 50% (3 pts) | Abigail Holtman 75% (3 misses) | Kimora Jenkins 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-18 | 33.3 | 18 | Kimora Jenkins 33% (6 pts) | Abigail Holtman 17% (3 pts) | Abigail Holtman 42% (5 misses) | Avani Tella 17% (2 misses) |