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Mercer

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History
Coach: Ryan Ridder

2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)

78.2
PPG
80.6
Opp
-2.4
Margin
42.3%
FG%
26.6%
3P%
72.6%
FT%
39.6
RPG
11.4
APG
13.6
TO
73.5
Est. poss./game
77.6
Adj PPG
73.4
Adj Opp PPG
#146
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 833 (returning production + recruiting): last season 968, returning -37, transfers -61, freshmen -37 More → 850 (#235) Preseason prior 833 (returning production + recruiting): last season 968, returning -37, transfers -61, freshmen -37
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More → 947 (#212) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More → 979 (#195) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → +0.6 (#152) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +0.8 (#151) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.226 (#277) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.423 (#196) AdjNet -1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.450 (#185) AdjNet +0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.516 (#146) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 73.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.534 (#133) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 73.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.475 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.478 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 170 | GP 4 More → 913 (#236) RD 170 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.351 (#228) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Reinhardt Eagles W 90 - 53
2026-11-05 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 67 - 96
2026-11-07 @ Davidson Wildcats L 76 - 88
2026-11-10 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 97 - 91
2026-11-12 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 61 - 75
2026-11-18 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quinton Perkins II Quinton Perkins II G 5 29.4 14.8 1.6 3.6 1.4 0.0 2.2 13.2 6.0 8 1 8.0 13.5 39.4 29.4 100.0 0.23 51.9 47.0
Shane Cherry Shane Cherry G 5 19.0 13.2 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.4 1.8 10.2 8.0 25 1 25.0 58.9 39.2 23.1 83.3 0.81 53.6 45.1
Karon Boyd Karon Boyd F 5 28.2 11.2 7.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 1.6 8.2 10.8 26 1 26.0 49.3 51.2 26.7 71.4 0.87 59.4 56.1
Derek Goodman Derek Goodman G 5 26.4 11.0 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.2 11.0 3.8 16 1 16.0 30.0 38.2 24.2 55.6 0.45 46.6 45.5
KJ Lamonte KJ Lamonte ATH 4 22.8 11.0 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.5 2.5 9.0 3.8 15 1 15.0 30.0 36.1 33.3 75.0 0.41 49.1 40.3
Makoi Mabor Makoi Makoi Mabor Makoi F 5 26.2 7.4 6.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 6.4 7.6 10 1 10.0 23.4 53.1 0.0 50.0 -0.74 53.4 53.1
Brady Shoulders Brady Shoulders G 5 30.6 6.4 6.6 0.8 1.6 0.2 1.2 4.0 10.4 18 1 18.0 33.4 45.0 41.7 56.2 -0.01 59.2 57.5
Sawyer Mayhugh Sawyer Mayhugh C 1 19.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 106.4 100.0
Dawson Barr Dawson Barr G 3 6.7 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.7 13 1 13.0 41.0 50.0 33.3 0 0.16 62.5 62.5
Harrison Lyttle Harrison Lyttle G 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1 1 1.0 23.5 100.0 0 0.0 -0.14 69.4 100.0
Keelan Steele Keelan Steele F 4 7.5 1.2 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.0 2.5 17 1 17.0 43.3 50.0 0 50.0 -0.49 51.2 50.0
Petras Padegimas Petras Padegimas F 5 6.6 0.8 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.6 14 1 14.0 48.6 66.7 0.0 0 0.35 66.7 66.7
Ryder Cate Ryder Cate G 3 9.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.3 0.0 21 1 21.0 55.9 14.3 0.0 0 0.67 14.3 14.3
Sawyer Mayhugh Sawyer Mayhugh F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ryder Cate Ryder Cate G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Josh Jackson Josh Jackson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dimitrije Kovacevic Dimitrije Kovacevic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Emmanuel Koveos Emmanuel Koveos G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 1 1 1.0 23.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.14 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

326 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Makoi18% Boyd24% Goodman40% Perkins100% Perkins38% Barr67% Shoulders25% Lamonte33% Goodman30%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Cherry19% Lamonte26% Lamonte43% Perkins100% Goodman33% Goodman27% Goodman40% Perkins26% Cherry37% Goodman29%
Misses: who misses most here

Quinton Perkins IIDerek GoodmanKaron BoydShane CherryMakoi Mabor MakoiKJ LamonteBrady ShouldersDawson Barr

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 44-70 62.9 88 Makoi Mabor Makoi 18% (16 pts) Shane Cherry 18% (16 pts) Shane Cherry 19% (5 misses) Derek Goodman 15% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 42-85 49.4 84 Karon Boyd 24% (20 pts) Makoi Mabor Makoi 19% (16 pts) KJ Lamonte 26% (11 misses) Quinton Perkins II 19% (8 misses)
Mid-range left 5-12 41.7 10 Derek Goodman 40% (4 pts) Quinton Perkins II 40% (4 pts) KJ Lamonte 43% (3 misses) Quinton Perkins II 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Quinton Perkins II 100% (2 pts) - Quinton Perkins II 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 8-14 57.1 16 Quinton Perkins II 38% (6 pts) Derek Goodman 25% (4 pts) Derek Goodman 33% (2 misses) Makoi Mabor Makoi 33% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 3-14 21.4 9 Dawson Barr 67% (6 pts) Quinton Perkins II 33% (3 pts) Derek Goodman 27% (3 misses) KJ Lamonte 18% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-5 0.0 0 - - Derek Goodman 40% (2 misses) Karon Boyd 40% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 16-58 27.6 48 Brady Shoulders 25% (12 pts) Derek Goodman 25% (12 pts) Quinton Perkins II 26% (11 misses) Derek Goodman 21% (9 misses)
Above-break 3 center 9-28 32.1 27 KJ Lamonte 33% (9 pts) Shane Cherry 33% (9 pts) Shane Cherry 37% (7 misses) Quinton Perkins II 21% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 10-38 26.3 30 Derek Goodman 30% (9 pts) Quinton Perkins II 30% (9 pts) Derek Goodman 29% (8 misses) Shane Cherry 29% (8 misses)