Memphis
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1532 (#45) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1095 (#49) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +34.1 (#59) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.4 (#27) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.843 (#5) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.868 (#15) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.869 (#15) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.670 (#36) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.794 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.784 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1246 (#29) | RD 108 | GP 30 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-13 | N | Wake Forest | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Fordham | W | 94 - 64 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 84 - 64 |
| 2003-12-06 | @ | Mississippi | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2003-12-13 | @ | Illinois | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2003-12-17 | vs | Belmont | W | 89 - 83 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Samford | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2003-12-27 | vs | Missouri | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | Oakland | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2004-01-06 | @ | Villanova | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | Southern Mississippi | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2004-01-13 | @ | DePaul | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Charlotte | W | 91 - 69 |
| 2004-01-20 | @ | Tulane | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Houston | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2004-01-27 | vs | South Florida | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | Texas Christian | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2004-02-04 | vs | Louisville | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Saint Louis | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ | East Carolina | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | Marquette | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | UAB | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2004-02-24 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2004-02-28 | @ | Louisville | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2004-03-03 | vs | Texas Christian | W | 83 - 56 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 79 - 83 |
| 2004-03-11 | N | Saint Louis | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2004-03-19 | N | South Carolina | W | 59 - 43 |
| 2004-03-21 | N | Oklahoma State | L | 53 - 70 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.