🐻⬇️🏀

McMurry

Also known as: McMurry
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 921 (#409) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 986 (#371) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -20.2 (#528) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.239 (#466) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.248 (#523) AdjNet -9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.4 More → 0.251 (#524) AdjNet -9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 88.6 More → 0.330 (#527) AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 88.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 79.6 More → 0.360 (#491) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 79.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.195 (#533) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.229 (#524) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 887 (#384) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ UT Permian Basin L 76 - 104

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Malveaux - 1 18.9 22.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 16.0 - - - 66.7 75.0 60.0 - 77.5 79.2
JaRayl Peoples - 1 21.4 13.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 42.9 - 49.7 50.0
Jalen Cherry - 1 20.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 -30 -1.2 -55.0 66.7 50.0 0 -0.41 83.3 83.3
Zack Rygg - 1 20.8 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Jordan Willis - 1 12.7 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0.0 - 67.6 75.0
Jordan Kamga - 1 13.2 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Noah Ayala - 1 9.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Amari Leflore - 1 19.9 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -3.0 - - - 14.3 16.7 0 - 21.4 21.4
Dirk Johnson - 1 11.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3 0.2 1.3 100.0 0 0 -0.52 100.0 100.0
Koye Rondeno - 1 19.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Jeremiah Smith - 1 11.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 98 4.9 25.3 0.0 0 100.0 4.05 53.2 0.0
Taeshaun Benson - 1 11.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Aden Mendez - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -10 -3.3 -201.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
Tyheim Williams - 1 7.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 42 3.2 14.5 0.0 0 0 3.23 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG