McKendree
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1004 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#262) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1041 (#169) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.8 (#99) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.6 (#162) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.821 (#231) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.900 (#138) | NetEff +17.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.862 (#241) | AdjNet +15.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.881 (#223) | AdjNet +17.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.724 (#236) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 64.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.744 (#54) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#136) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.760 (#129) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1054 (#187) | RD 98 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Harris-Stowe | W | 80 - 44 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 67 - 86 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 96 - 50 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Ill. Springfield | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Davenport | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Eureka | W | 97 - 37 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Lewis | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | William Jewell | W | 94 - 48 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Drury | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Missouri S&T | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Maryville (MO) | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 83 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylie Parks | - | 16 | 26.4 | 15.9 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 12.4 | 14.5 | 47 | 2.6 | 12.9 | 51.0 | 20.8 | 75.0 | -0.15 | 56.4 | 52.3 |
| Kyra Taylor | - | 18 | 23.3 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 68 | 3.4 | 21.0 | 47.1 | 0 | 84.9 | -1.59 | 56.1 | 47.1 |
| Tessa Crawford | - | 18 | 21.5 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 54 | 2.7 | 20.7 | 33.3 | 27.9 | 70.4 | 1.95 | 44.0 | 41.2 |
| Emma Slings | - | 18 | 28.2 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 37.8 | 29.2 | 73.5 | -0.57 | 50.0 | 44.9 |
| Morgan Feil | - | 18 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 7.2 | 89 | 4.5 | 84.3 | 42.0 | 33.3 | 83.1 | 1.08 | 59.0 | 45.7 |
| Chloe White | - | 18 | 21.6 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 36 | 1.8 | 14.5 | 29.3 | 25.6 | 77.3 | -1.59 | 37.7 | 33.7 |
| Taylor Fohey | - | 18 | 14.0 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 91 | 4.5 | 68.4 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 59.1 | 1.17 | 49.1 | 47.1 |
| Madison Johnson | - | 18 | 17.3 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 36 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 52.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 1.18 | 53.1 | 52.7 |
| Kylie Moeller | - | 18 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 45 | 2.2 | 50.5 | 43.3 | 7.7 | 84.0 | 0.35 | 52.8 | 45.0 |
| Maliah Sparks | - | 7 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.9 | 8.3 | 75.0 | - | 46.3 | 43.2 |
| Jayce Privia | - | 12 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 48 | 3.4 | 96.5 | 51.9 | 14.3 | 77.8 | -3.37 | 58.1 | 53.7 |
| Hannah Fenton | - | 17 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 112 | 5.9 | 109.7 | 36.4 | 22.7 | 25.0 | -0.75 | 40.2 | 40.9 |
| Olivia Corson | - | 9 | 9.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 10.5 | 50.0 | - | 30.2 | 28.6 |
| Jacie Persing | - | 1 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG