🐻⬇️🏀

McDaniel

Also known as: McDaniel
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1133 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1157 (#54) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +8.0 (#97) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.841 (#273) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +16.1 More → 0.901 (#79) NetEff +16.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.791 (#277) AdjNet +11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.9 More → 0.785 (#278) AdjNet +10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 54.8 More → 0.637 (#282) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 54.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Gallaudet W 75 - 54
2024-11-09 vs Geneva W 84 - 70
2024-11-12 @ York (PA) W 66 - 52
2024-11-16 @ Immaculata L 54 - 60
2024-11-20 @ Notre Dame (MD) W 71 - 36
2024-11-23 @ Eastern W 70 - 47
2024-12-04 @ Dickinson L 45 - 48
2024-12-07 vs Ursinus W 73 - 60
2024-12-14 vs Hood W 46 - 40
2024-12-16 vs Wilson W 88 - 48
2024-12-18 @ Alvernia L 48 - 57
2025-01-02 vs Mount Aloysius W 67 - 47
2025-01-08 @ Salisbury W 61 - 50
2025-01-11 @ Franklin & Marshall L 57 - 62
2025-01-15 vs Dickinson W 68 - 58
2025-01-18 @ Swarthmore W 53 - 33
2025-01-22 @ Johns Hopkins L 48 - 50
2025-01-29 @ Gettysburg L 46 - 61
2025-02-01 vs Franklin & Marshall W 68 - 61
2025-02-05 @ Washington Col. W 51 - 43
2025-02-08 vs Haverford W 70 - 49
2025-02-12 vs Johns Hopkins L 50 - 64
2025-02-15 @ Bryn Mawr W 59 - 45
2025-02-19 vs Gettysburg L 52 - 68
2025-02-22 vs Muhlenberg W 77 - 51
2025-02-25 @ Washington Col. L 40 - 45
2025-03-08 @ Alvernia W 52 - 39
2025-03-09 vs Allegheny L 40 - 52

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elaina Beckett - 28 30.6 15.6 7.0 2.1 1.2 1.1 2.0 12.5 12.6 47 1.3 1.5 52.3 27.4 68.8 0.31 57.6 56.0
Teya Mcconnaha - 4 25.2 11.5 8.5 1.0 2.2 0.8 2.2 14.0 7.8 138 3.7 5.4 33.9 20.0 45.5 1.41 37.8 36.6
Lil Overcash - 28 31.5 6.9 3.9 3.9 0.8 0.3 2.5 6.5 6.6 75 2.8 2.8 38.3 30.6 54.1 -0.09 45.7 43.4
Raegan Lenz - 28 25.6 6.7 5.9 3.0 0.8 2.1 2.0 5.1 11.5 103 2.9 3.6 57.7 0.0 48.0 1.74 57.3 57.7
Lauren Cavoli - 24 19.4 5.6 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.4 5.0 3.7 129 4.4 6.4 37.8 41.3 68.4 1.81 52.6 50.8
Caroline Barbalato - 27 18.5 3.8 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.0 1.9 4.3 1.1 26 1.0 1.6 30.8 23.6 72.2 -0.06 40.8 38.0
Peyton Tague - 27 13.4 3.0 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.3 1.3 3.8 2.4 -51 -2.0 -3.4 28.4 24.6 72.7 -0.98 37.4 35.3
Carli Vogel - 28 11.9 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 2.2 2.1 -23 -0.6 -1.3 45.2 0.0 50.0 -0.12 47.2 45.2
Ally Mathias - 28 5.9 1.7 2.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.4 1.4 -28 -1.2 -5.0 23.9 11.8 68.4 -0.44 31.2 25.4
Kennadi Johnson - 21 3.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.6 67 2.8 6.5 36.4 37.5 0 -0.74 54.5 54.5
Jordan Mclean - 4 6.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 48 1.3 3.0 25.0 0.0 100.0 0.4 41.0 25.0
Kendra Mason - 27 3.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.2 4 0.2 0.4 28.6 23.1 75.0 0.07 37.0 33.9
Emily Lockard - 27 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 8 0.9 7.4 36.8 40.0 100.0 -0.15 50.3 47.4
Lily Hines - 24 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 30.8 25.0 50.0 0.03 41.6 38.5
Clara Gonzales - 26 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.3 - - - 17.6 12.5 0 - 23.5 23.5
Jessica Weinoldt - 26 2.5 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 -11 -0.7 -7.3 14.3 0 75.0 -0.19 28.5 14.3
Trinity Lindblade - 17 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG