Marymount (VA)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 968 (#303) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 929 (#336) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#272) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.727 (#348) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.310 (#293) | NetEff -5.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.599 (#346) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.583 (#350) | AdjNet +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.536 (#349) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 45 - 79 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Widener | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Dickinson | L | 40 - 58 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 36 - 64 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Baruch | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 44 - 70 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Salisbury | L | 48 - 51 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 46 - 42 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Immaculata | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Marywood | W | 75 - 48 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Neumann | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 39 - 50 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Immaculata | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Marywood | W | 55 - 45 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Neumann | L | 46 - 49 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Neumann | L | 57 - 60 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylah Barr | - | 23 | 23.5 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.3 | 13.6 | 54.5 | 0.12 | 44.5 | 41.6 |
| Samantha Bulik | - | 24 | 26.7 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 8.2 | 7.2 | -16 | -0.7 | -0.8 | 36.9 | 30.2 | 74.0 | -0.06 | 50.7 | 44.9 |
| Ella Morrison | - | 24 | 25.9 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 5.5 | -17 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 35.2 | 27.1 | 74.5 | 0.06 | 45.3 | 40.6 |
| Cara Vollmer | - | 24 | 22.2 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 31.1 | 32.1 | 62.5 | 0.25 | 43.8 | 42.1 |
| Ava Achtyl | - | 24 | 20.9 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 3.9 | -10 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 41.7 | 0 | 78.9 | -0.02 | 47.3 | 41.7 |
| Jaylah Thompson | - | 24 | 18.9 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 19 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 27.5 | 27.4 | 36.8 | 0.23 | 33.5 | 33.0 |
| Catie Kolwey | - | 24 | 17.1 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 6.6 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 51.8 | 33.3 | 27.3 | 0.67 | 49.7 | 53.0 |
| Kelly Ceroll | - | 24 | 26.6 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 11 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 38.8 | 0.0 | 59.4 | 0.17 | 42.4 | 38.8 |
| Grace Damato | - | 23 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.09 | 43.1 | 41.5 |
| Crystal Wright | - | 21 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 26 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 53.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 54.0 | 53.8 |
| Chandler Eddleton | - | 18 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -2 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.21 | 69.4 | 60.0 |
| Kayla Bigsby | - | 20 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 29.6 | 20.0 |
| Aisha Damti | - | 18 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Nevaeh Camp | - | 17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Rylie Guy | - | 20 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG