Marymount (VA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1088 (#138) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 982 (#353) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1014 (#338) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.7 (#299) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.1 (#478) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.727 (#348) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.574 (#337) | NetEff +2.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.599 (#346) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.583 (#350) | AdjNet +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.536 (#349) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.442 (#494) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 61.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.410 (#447) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.419 (#444) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1010 (#291) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Washington Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Gallaudet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | FDU-Florham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Neumann | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Pratt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Immaculata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Marywood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Neumann | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Eddleton | - | 9 | 25.0 | 18.8 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 14.9 | 34 | 3.1 | 10.1 | 59.3 | 0.0 | 71.9 | 3.62 | 63.5 | 59.3 |
| Kaylah Barr | - | 16 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 12.3 | 6.6 | 13 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 40.1 | 20.7 | 71.0 | 0.95 | 48.3 | 41.6 |
| Catie Kolwey | - | 16 | 33.5 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 13.9 | 21 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 1.91 | 55.0 | 53.8 |
| Cara Vollmer | - | 14 | 31.6 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 10.6 | 3.5 | -20 | -1.2 | -5.1 | 33.8 | 36.5 | 73.9 | -0.37 | 48.1 | 45.6 |
| Crystal Wright | - | 7 | 25.9 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 8.6 | -22 | -2.8 | -20.8 | 58.6 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.68 | 62.7 | 58.6 |
| Elsa Meysselle | - | 16 | 28.0 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 8.3 | -15 | -0.8 | -3.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 57.1 | -1.78 | 54.1 | 50.0 |
| Sakairah Sterling | - | 16 | 17.5 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 12 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 38.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.9 | 41.6 | 38.3 |
| Aaliyah Thrash | - | 12 | 13.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.6 | -0.8 | 8 | 0.7 | 12.8 | 25.5 | 25.6 | 100.0 | -1.29 | 36.7 | 35.5 |
| Jaylah Thompson | - | 12 | 31.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 5.2 | -17 | -1.1 | -4.4 | 28.3 | 25.0 | 37.5 | -0.86 | 30.7 | 30.0 |
| Jordan Avent | - | 9 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | -8 | -0.7 | -151.2 | 30.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Hermela Shimels | - | 7 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.54 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Olivia Garner | - | 3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | -9 | -3.0 | -26.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG