🐻⬇️🏀

Mary

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo 1182 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry 1216 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Recency 1160 (#30) -
Margin +19.3 (#23) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency +17.3 (#118) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean 0.705 (#289) -
Adjusted Efficiency 0.951 (#150) AdjO 112.8 | AdjD 87.2
Log Adjusted 0.956 (#153) AdjO 111.3 | AdjD 85.2
Points Off/Def 0.825 (#147) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency 0.729 (#65) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 63.5
Core Ensemble 0.866 (#52) Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def
Recency Ensemble 0.852 (#50) Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency
KenPom Kitchen Sink 0.930 (#80) -
Dynamic BT 1221 (#35) HCA +45.0

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Mont. St. Billings W 81 - 71
2025-11-08 @ UT Tyler W 68 - 48
2025-11-09 vs CSU Pueblo W 73 - 44
2025-11-14 @ Central Mo. W 65 - 55
2025-11-15 vs Mo. Southern St. W 76 - 73
2025-11-18 vs Dickinson St. W 81 - 54
2025-11-25 vs Minot St. W 82 - 69
2025-11-28 @ Western Wash. L 63 - 72
2025-11-29 @ Central Wash. L 82 - 89
2025-12-04 vs Northern St. W 81 - 63
2025-12-06 @ Jamestown L 58 - 60
2025-12-11 vs Minn.-Crookston W 84 - 68
2025-12-13 vs MSU Moorhead W 84 - 78
2025-12-20 @ Minn. Duluth L 65 - 80
2025-12-31 vs Bismarck St. W 100 - 59
2026-01-03 @ Minot St. W 79 - 64
2026-01-10 vs St. Cloud St. W 79 - 67
2026-01-16 @ Sioux Falls W 83 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 75 - 89
2026-01-23 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 91 - 87
2026-01-24 vs Augustana (SD) W 67 - 55
2026-01-30 @ Winona St. W 66 - 58
2026-01-31 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 69 - 83
2026-02-05 vs Minn. Duluth W 76 - 66
2026-02-07 vs Bemidji St. W 85 - 54

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.