Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1182 (#38) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1216 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1160 (#30) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.3 (#23) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.3 (#118) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.705 (#289) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.770 (#202) | NetEff +10.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.951 (#150) | AdjNet +25.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.956 (#153) | AdjNet +26.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.825 (#147) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.729 (#65) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.866 (#52) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.852 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1219 (#35) | RD 93 | GP 27 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | UT Tyler | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | CSU Pueblo | W | 73 - 44 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Central Mo. | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Dickinson St. | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Minot St. | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northern St. | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Jamestown | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | MSU Moorhead | W | 84 - 78 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Minn. Duluth | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Bismarck St. | W | 100 - 59 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Minot St. | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | St. Cloud St. | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Sioux Falls | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Augustana (SD) | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Winona St. | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Minn. Duluth | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 85 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergen Kinnebrew | - | 23 | 32.8 | 23.0 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 14.6 | 16.3 | 87 | 3.5 | 9.6 | 46.1 | 36.0 | 89.4 | -1.39 | 61.8 | 50.9 |
| Allison Undlin | - | 25 | 27.2 | 15.6 | 7.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 10.7 | 14.4 | 111 | 4.1 | 13.3 | 60.4 | 52.4 | 77.2 | 3.0 | 66.5 | 64.6 |
| Chloe Pfau | - | 25 | 29.3 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 8.7 | 85 | 3.1 | 9.9 | 39.3 | 32.6 | 76.7 | 2.33 | 53.1 | 50.0 |
| Anna Lenzen | - | 24 | 28.8 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 6.1 | 106 | 4.1 | 13.4 | 40.9 | 35.9 | 76.7 | 0.96 | 48.2 | 44.4 |
| Emily Jaenke | - | 25 | 22.2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 112 | 4.1 | 19.0 | 40.8 | 42.0 | 84.2 | 1.78 | 57.9 | 55.6 |
| Eden Fridley | - | 25 | 28.2 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 75 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 29.3 | 29.3 | 68.6 | 0.77 | 42.8 | 37.4 |
| Cassie Erickson | - | 25 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 66 | 2.4 | 15.7 | 40.8 | 29.0 | 55.6 | -1.71 | 46.7 | 45.4 |
| Chloe Nuss | - | 16 | 12.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 51 | 2.8 | 26.5 | 37.5 | 46.7 | 76.2 | -0.0 | 57.0 | 48.4 |
| Grace Richardson | - | 7 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 44.4 | -1.34 | 52.9 | 53.6 |
| Tory Jennissen | - | 6 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3.0 | -22 | -3.1 | -101.5 | 62.5 | 0 | 62.5 | -0.33 | 65.1 | 62.5 |
| Chloe Netzinger | - | 7 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | -22 | -2.8 | -89.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -1.33 | 41.8 | 36.7 |
| Brenna Dick | - | 16 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 57 | 3.4 | 33.1 | 45.5 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 2.4 | 52.8 | 50.0 |
| Senna Mooijekind | - | 7 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -16 | -2.0 | -60.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.4 | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| Mashae Miller | - | 7 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -0.9 | -25 | -3.1 | -125.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.3 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG