Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 930 (#350) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 859 (#489) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 810 (#593) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.3 (#214) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.4 (#284) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.210 (#482) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#28) | NetEff +65.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.545 (#398) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.553 (#395) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.543 (#384) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.453 (#392) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.394 (#404) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.384 (#409) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 752 (#482) | RD 95 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Okla. Baptist | L | 76 - 94 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Chadron St. | L | 82 - 83 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Minot St. | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northern St. | L | 68 - 87 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Jamestown | L | 91 - 99 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | MSU Moorhead | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Bemidji St. | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Minn. Duluth | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Bismarck St. | W | 99 - 67 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Minot St. | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Minnesota St. | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | St. Cloud St. | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 48 - 76 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 74 - 91 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Augustana (SD) | L | 46 - 78 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Winona St. | L | 80 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 79 - 92 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Minn. Duluth | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Bemidji St. | L | 73 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelton Coleman | - | 24 | 23.6 | 13.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.9 | 8.5 | -162 | -6.8 | -40.7 | 44.1 | 29.3 | 69.7 | -1.21 | 52.6 | 48.7 |
| Cayden Redfield | - | 24 | 17.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 6.5 | -120 | -5.0 | -37.7 | 46.4 | 36.4 | 66.7 | -0.03 | 57.1 | 54.8 |
| Noah Thomas | - | 24 | 19.7 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 3.7 | -62 | -2.6 | -17.6 | 33.5 | 29.7 | 57.1 | -0.02 | 43.7 | 42.7 |
| Andre Austin | - | 17 | 26.0 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 6.5 | -104 | -6.1 | -201.5 | 44.7 | 34.8 | 56.9 | -1.93 | 52.0 | 48.9 |
| Tshawn Bois | - | 23 | 18.3 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 5.7 | -160 | -7.0 | -94.6 | 31.1 | 30.6 | 65.9 | -3.83 | 44.8 | 41.5 |
| Jackson Ware | - | 24 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 6.6 | -94 | -3.9 | -26.4 | 45.3 | 37.2 | 68.8 | -2.32 | 58.0 | 56.9 |
| Tamarrein Henderson | - | 24 | 22.7 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 4.9 | -132 | -5.5 | -31.9 | 36.8 | 28.2 | 54.8 | -2.01 | 45.3 | 43.2 |
| Amare Jackson | - | 20 | 17.8 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 4.5 | -41 | -2.0 | -18.1 | 45.2 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 0.95 | 54.3 | 53.8 |
| Alex Dvorak | - | 19 | 11.7 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | -85 | -4.5 | -28.2 | 46.1 | 41.1 | 100.0 | -0.9 | 60.8 | 59.0 |
| Parker Brodina | - | 18 | 20.3 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 4.0 | -108 | -6.0 | -30.2 | 38.2 | 29.0 | 93.3 | 1.48 | 52.3 | 48.3 |
| Kenny Gonzalez | - | 5 | 21.5 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.4 | -16 | -3.2 | -36.7 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -0.35 | 48.3 | 45.8 |
| Relja Nagulic | - | 16 | 17.0 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 | -84 | -5.2 | -43.9 | 34.8 | 16.7 | 66.7 | -2.38 | 43.3 | 37.7 |
| Tyresse Poku Mensah | - | 8 | 15.7 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 3.9 | -63 | -7.9 | -28.0 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 37.5 | -1.69 | 42.8 | 42.9 |
| Wyatt Westin | - | 1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG