🐻⬇️🏀

Mary Baldwin

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Also known as: Mary Baldwin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#347) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#403) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 909 (#661) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.1 (#233) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -22.5 (#705) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.389 (#535) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.2 More → 0.196 (#543) AdjNet -12.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.5 More → 0.188 (#546) AdjNet -12.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 78.1 More → 0.307 (#536) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 78.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.204 (#736) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 76.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.170 (#695) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.170 (#703) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 8 More → 794 (#566) RD 147 | GP 8

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Greensboro L 65 - 79
2026-01-24 @ N.C. Wesleyan L 63 - 88
2026-01-28 vs Southern Va. L 62 - 73
2026-01-31 vs Brevard W 71 - 66
2026-02-03 vs Regent W 85 - 78
2026-02-07 vs William Peace L 56 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
DJ Jackson - 1 24.4 24.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 13.0 -32 -2.0 -5.6 61.5 0 80.0 -1.38 69.0 61.5
Justin Burden - 1 29.3 20.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 23.0 -49 -2.1 -16.0 63.6 50.0 83.3 0.21 73.3 68.2
Nasir Johnson - 1 32.3 20.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 14.0 -63 -3.0 -12.2 64.3 100.0 0 -0.1 71.4 71.4
Emmanuel Mullings - 1 34.2 20.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 11.0 22.0 -36 -6.0 -85.1 63.6 0 75.0 1.48 68.9 63.6
Jeremiah Howard - 1 19.2 19.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 11.0 22.0 -5 -0.2 -1.8 54.5 0 70.0 0.57 61.7 54.5
DJ Green - 1 37.6 19.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 18.0 6.0 38 1.9 7.0 44.4 16.7 66.7 -0.44 49.2 47.2
Raymond Benton - 1 34.9 19.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 16.0 -162 -7.4 -50.3 72.7 0.0 60.0 -1.93 72.0 72.7
Twain Wilson - 1 33.7 18.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 14.0 9.0 8 0.4 2.2 57.1 25.0 50.0 -0.21 60.5 60.7
Jadon Carnes - 1 36.2 17.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 14.0 -67 -3.0 -14.1 53.8 33.3 66.7 2.91 59.4 57.7
Shawn Jones - 1 33.6 15.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 14.0 15 0.7 5.6 66.7 50.0 50.0 1.09 75.9 77.8
Rashod Smith - 1 32.6 14.0 3.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 18.0 -57 -2.7 -12.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.37 54.3 50.0
Tillman Johnson - 1 35.2 14.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 10.0 14 0.7 2.8 41.7 25.0 75.0 0.14 50.9 45.8
Tucker Shifflett - 1 34.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 8.0 -47 -4.3 -72.1 41.7 50.0 0 0.17 58.3 58.3
Elijah Green - 1 28.0 14.0 4.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 16.0 21 1.1 7.0 50.0 40.0 80.0 1.1 68.6 62.5
Markquan Gilbert - 1 14.9 13.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 -61 -2.8 -20.9 62.5 0 75.0 -1.81 66.6 62.5
KK Horton - 1 33.5 13.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 13.0 -62 -2.8 -14.7 50.0 50.0 100.0 -2.01 66.6 56.2
Will Gray - 1 34.8 12.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 12.0 -93 -5.2 -18.5 45.5 33.3 100.0 -2.49 52.4 50.0
Hyrum McConkie - 1 24.2 11.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 13.0 55 2.8 16.9 62.5 100.0 0 -0.4 68.8 68.8
Dre'Shaun Brown - 1 33.4 10.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 33 1.6 7.7 37.5 50.0 75.0 0.15 51.2 43.8
Parker Hodgson - 1 30.6 10.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -30 -1.7 -9.3 42.9 50.0 100.0 -0.64 63.5 57.1
Tyler Whitehurst - 1 26.5 10.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 14 1.0 4.7 57.1 40.0 0 -1.13 71.4 71.4
Quamir Ingram - 1 26.8 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 -31 -3.4 -22.6 27.3 0.0 100.0 1.26 36.5 27.3
Ashton Davis - 1 20.2 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 41 2.2 19.5 66.7 0 0.0 0.87 58.1 66.7
Ryan Roberts - 1 34.5 6.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 -11 -0.7 -2.2 66.7 50.0 50.0 -0.54 77.3 83.3
Jude Ballstaedt - 1 17.5 6.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 66 3.3 20.0 66.7 50.0 50.0 1.36 77.3 83.3
Luc DeVore - 1 14.0 6.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 50 2.5 25.0 75.0 0 0 4.23 75.0 75.0
Elijah Cathcart - 1 23.5 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 -78 -5.2 -42.1 40.0 50.0 0 -0.22 60.0 60.0
Dalton Johnson - 1 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 -52 -2.7 -64.1 60.0 0.0 0 -0.14 60.0 60.0
Omari Bolden - 1 11.8 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -26 -2.6 -11.8 100.0 100.0 0 -1.8 125.0 125.0
James Jones - 1 21.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -45 -1.3 -11.6 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.67 46.0 40.0
Josh Laney - 1 6.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -100 -5.9 -120.8 66.7 50.0 0 -3.31 83.3 83.3
Austin Mitchell - 1 12.3 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -40 -2.1 -19.4 100.0 0 50.0 -0.23 86.8 100.0
DJ Via - 1 12.2 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 -145 -6.9 -54.3 16.7 0.0 100.0 -0.38 34.2 16.7
Chuks Ezeonu - 1 27.8 5.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 7.0 -3 -0.1 -1.2 66.7 0 33.3 -0.24 57.9 66.7
Mason Hunter - 1 21.2 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 43 2.1 17.5 33.3 0.0 0 1.01 33.3 33.3
Zane Caudle - 1 11.4 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -18 -1.1 -19.7 33.3 33.3 0.0 -0.94 43.6 50.0
Ryan Lominack - 1 6.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4 0.2 3.9 50.0 50.0 0 0.35 75.0 75.0
Ja Chudgar - 1 19.8 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Deejayy Cox - 1 28.7 2.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -34 -1.5 -9.9 50.0 0 0 0.94 50.0 50.0
Jordan Dancy - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -14 -2.0 -74.7 100.0 0 0 -1.64 100.0 100.0
Marcus Portis - 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -17 -1.7 -194.3 100.0 0 0 -0.92 100.0 100.0
Khalil Black - 1 8.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -7 -0.4 -6.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.23 33.3 33.3
Brock McKnight - 1 35.1 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -30 -1.4 -7.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.55 25.8 0.0
Willem Le Plastrier - 1 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -47 -3.6 -300.8 33.3 0.0 0 -1.14 33.3 33.3
Grant Overman - 1 9.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3 0.2 3.7 100.0 0 0 -2.04 100.0 100.0
Caleb Duncan - 1 4.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 10 0.8 11.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.34 17.4 0.0
Quan Bowling - 1 4.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -10 -1.7 -10.1 0 0 0 0.24 0 0
Zephaniah Jones - 1 9.4 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -15 -1.4 -14.5 0.0 0 0 -0.68 0.0 0.0
Adefisayo Adebimpe - 1 4.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -51 -2.5 -172.4 0 0 0 -0.61 0 0
DJ Benbow - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -47 -3.9 -103.8 0.0 0 0 -2.42 0.0 0.0
Brayden Blue - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -10 -1.2 -125.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.22 0.0 0.0
Ro'Mello Pegues - 1 11.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -3.0 -70 -3.7 -48.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.47 0.0 0.0
Landon Catlett - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -16 -1.5 -52.2 0 0 0 -0.95 0 0
Abe Connolly - 1 9.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -17 -0.9 -9.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.59 0.0 0.0
Matthew Hale - 1 5.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -16 -0.9 -17.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.76 0.0 0.0
Ryder Block - 1 3.8 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Richardson - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -2.0 -83.2 0 0 0 0.44 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG