🐻⬇️🏀

Martin Luther

Also known as: Martin Luther
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 913 (#388) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 917 (#348) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -4.7 (#233) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.609 (#398) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.0 More → 0.776 (#128) NetEff +9.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.181 (#497) AdjNet -13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.4 More → 0.170 (#498) AdjNet -13.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.293 (#510) AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 68.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 @ Macalester L 61 - 69
2024-11-15 vs Buena Vista W 75 - 54
2024-11-16 vs Maranatha Baptist W 76 - 44
2024-11-20 @ St. Catherine L 58 - 63
2024-11-22 vs Mount Mary W 89 - 42
2024-12-10 @ Luther W 62 - 47
2024-12-13 vs Carleton W 63 - 57
2024-12-16 vs Augsburg W 56 - 50
2024-12-31 @ Hamline L 51 - 74
2025-01-01 @ St. Olaf L 57 - 59
2025-01-08 @ Minn.-Morris W 61 - 55
2025-01-11 @ Crown (MN) W 76 - 36
2025-01-15 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 72 - 68
2025-01-18 vs Wis.-Superior W 60 - 52
2025-01-22 @ Bethany Lutheran L 57 - 74
2025-01-25 vs Northland W 74 - 36
2025-01-27 @ Maranatha Baptist W 78 - 29
2025-01-29 vs North Central (MN) W 69 - 50
2025-02-01 @ Northwestern-St. Paul L 64 - 88
2025-02-05 vs Bethany Lutheran L 50 - 61
2025-02-08 @ Wis.-Superior L 63 - 70
2025-02-12 vs Crown (MN) W 72 - 56
2025-02-15 vs Minn.-Morris L 60 - 69
2025-02-19 @ North Central (MN) W 63 - 59
2025-02-22 @ Northland W 100 - 40
2025-02-26 @ Wis.-Superior L 75 - 80

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mya Morris - 26 32.1 14.7 4.1 1.9 1.4 0.2 2.3 14.1 5.8 41 1.3 1.5 35.1 35.7 75.9 0.32 48.8 46.3
Emma Dorn - 26 25.7 10.6 6.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.3 10.0 8.0 0 0.0 0.0 39.0 35.9 76.3 -0.22 48.3 44.4
Lydia Feidt - 26 24.0 7.8 4.7 1.3 1.5 0.6 1.3 6.2 8.5 102 2.9 3.5 48.1 34.3 78.1 0.74 58.3 55.6
Ava Stein - 26 21.0 7.7 5.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.3 7.0 6.5 12 0.3 0.4 42.5 21.1 65.2 -0.43 47.8 43.6
Grace Kieselhorst - 26 20.4 7.7 4.1 1.3 1.8 0.2 1.9 6.9 6.4 14 0.5 0.8 36.9 32.4 59.2 -0.29 47.1 43.3
Lauren Paulsen - 26 25.7 6.6 5.3 2.3 0.9 1.2 1.5 8.9 6.0 23 0.9 1.2 28.6 23.3 54.2 -0.02 35.6 34.4
Anna Kieselhorst - 26 15.3 3.3 2.4 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.4 4.7 1.7 39 1.3 1.9 24.8 22.4 63.2 -0.26 32.9 30.2
Wilhelmina Wenz - 25 5.2 1.5 2.3 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 79 2.8 4.7 35.9 11.1 53.3 0.5 41.7 38.5
Ella Walz - 26 8.8 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.7 75 2.2 3.9 27.9 28.6 66.7 0.46 38.3 34.9
Alana Sulzle - 26 3.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.4 -3 -0.3 -1.4 25.0 22.2 91.7 -0.22 40.0 30.6
Erin Pulice - 26 3.0 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 18 1.3 7.2 53.6 0 80.0 0.1 56.3 53.6
Audrey deBoer - 25 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 -1 -0.1 -0.4 31.0 38.5 70.0 -0.13 44.9 39.7
Ella Schmidt - 26 2.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.0 19 1.1 3.9 22.2 12.5 66.7 -0.37 28.7 24.1
Emily Wittig - 24 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 - - - 40.0 40.0 25.0 - 44.7 46.7
Chloe Koschnitzke - 26 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 29 1.8 13.2 35.7 25.0 0 0.18 42.9 42.9
Hannah Rodmyre - 26 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 15 2.1 8.1 21.4 0 66.7 0.12 30.0 21.4
Julianna Koehler - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG