🐻⬇️🏀

Marshall

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Marshall Thundering Herd, Marshall
Program History
Coach: Dan D'Antoni

2018 Team Stats (21 games)

84.0
PPG
78.5
Opp
+5.5
Margin
46.7%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
77.5%
FT%
35.4
RPG
16.9
APG
12.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
81.6
Adj PPG
77.1
Adj Opp PPG
#110
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1188 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1157 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1141 (#19) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +4.7 (#110) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +8.6 (#66) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.630 (#98) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.3 More → 0.674 (#114) AdjNet +6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.3 More → 0.675 (#114) AdjNet +6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 77.1 More → 0.601 (#110) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 77.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.636 (#57) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.698 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.705 (#70) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 35 More → 1177 (#62) RD 103 | GP 35

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 102 - 91
2017-11-13 vs Southern Jaguars W 83 - 74
2017-11-16 @ Morehead State Eagles L 83 - 86
2017-11-19 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 74 - 91
2017-11-22 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 92 - 84
2017-11-26 vs Concord Mountain Lions W 106 - 70
2017-11-29 @ William & Mary Tribe L 104 - 114
2017-12-02 vs Akron Zips W 86 - 64
2017-12-05 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 70 - 66
2017-12-09 @ Toledo Rockets W 93 - 87
2017-12-16 vs Ohio Bobcats W 99 - 96
2017-12-19 @ Xavier Musketeers L 77 - 81
2017-12-22 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 91 - 71
2017-12-28 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 85 - 66
2017-12-30 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 78 - 65
2018-01-06 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 87 - 112
2018-01-11 @ Charlotte 49ers W 91 - 83
2018-01-13 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 76 - 82
2018-01-18 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 73 - 63
2018-01-20 vs UAB Blazers W 86 - 78
2018-01-27 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 74 - 85
2018-02-01 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 77 - 81
2018-02-03 @ UTEP Miners W 74 - 65
2018-02-08 vs Florida International Panthers W 76 - 66
2018-02-10 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 79 - 68
2018-02-15 @ Rice Owls W 93 - 80
2018-02-17 @ North Texas Mean Green W 74 - 72
2018-02-22 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 79 - 84
2018-02-24 vs Charlotte 49ers W 103 - 75
2018-03-01 @ UAB Blazers L 77 - 91
2018-03-03 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 76 - 67
2018-03-08 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 95 - 81
2018-03-09 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 85 - 75
2018-03-10 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 67 - 66
2018-03-16 @ Wichita State Shockers W 81 - 75
2018-03-18 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 71 - 94

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jon Elmore Jon Elmore - 36 38.3 22.7 5.8 6.8 1.6 0.4 3.7 9.7 23.9 204 29 7.0 7.8 44.1 38.5 81.6 4.19 97.5 54.2
C.J. Burks C.J. Burks G 35 35.9 20.1 4.1 3.1 1.0 0.1 3.1 9.8 15.5 132 28 4.7 5.6 44.3 38.0 91.0 -1.23 94.2 52.6
Ajdin Penava Ajdin Penava F 34 29.4 15.6 8.5 1.9 0.9 3.9 2.0 5.7 23.1 207 27 7.7 11.4 54.9 28.1 78.3 3.26 112.7 59.0
Rondale Watson Rondale Watson G 25 25.7 7.8 3.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.2 4.1 8.7 56 21 2.7 4.5 44.1 35.0 65.0 0.26 87.5 51.0
Jarrod West Jarrod West G 36 32.4 7.8 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.1 1.4 3.2 10.3 142 29 4.9 6.5 40.2 38.3 65.5 -0.12 107.9 53.4
Jannson Williams Jannson Williams F 35 16.8 5.4 3.4 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 2.9 6.9 40 28 1.4 3.5 51.0 38.8 71.9 -1.88 83.3 60.5
Darius George Darius George F 28 14.4 4.6 3.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.7 2.3 6.0 39 21 1.9 5.7 56.2 35.7 51.6 -0.41 83.1 64.1
Phil Bledsoe Phil Bledsoe F 19 7.3 3.1 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.3 -1 15 -0.1 -0.4 53.8 25.0 100.0 -1.82 107.9 57.7
Dani Koljanin Dani Koljanin F 21 11.1 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.4 -18 16 -1.1 -4.6 52.0 40.0 71.4 -4.19 89.0 60.0
Ot Elmore Ot Elmore G 11 7.9 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.5 21 8 2.6 13.2 26.7 26.7 0 -1.27 60.0 40.0
Milan Mijovic Milan Mijovic F 25 12.6 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 3.2 24 21 1.1 3.5 50.0 0 75.0 -3.13 91.9 50.0
Christian Thieneman Christian Thieneman F 8 6.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.8 6 5 1.2 5.8 25.0 0.0 42.9 -1.81 56.5 25.0
Marcus Reed Marcus Reed G 3 3.0 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 0.0
Christian Villers Christian Villers G 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Will Fenton Will Fenton G 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG