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Marshall

Also known as: Marshall Thundering Herd, Marshall
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

68.0
PPG
75.0
Opp
-7.0
Margin
43.8%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
52.5%
FT%
36.7
RPG
12.3
APG
15.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.5
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#224
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 985 (#181) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 938 (#211) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 944 (#249) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -3.7 (#218) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -3.5 (#218) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.323 (#252) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More โ†’ 0.396 (#202) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.7 More โ†’ 0.393 (#203) AdjNet -3.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.417 (#224) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 69.5 More โ†’ 0.417 (#246) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.404 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.404 (#218) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 31 More โ†’ 952 (#207) RD 136 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Longwood Lancers W 81 - 47
2012-11-11 @ Villanova Wildcats L 68 - 80
2012-11-16 @ District of Columbia Firebirds W 80 - 58
2012-11-17 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 77 - 78
2012-11-18 @ Hofstra Pride L 100 - 103
2012-11-24 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 89 - 82
2012-11-28 vs Morehead State Eagles W 70 - 67
2012-12-01 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 61 - 58
2012-12-05 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 59 - 69
2012-12-08 vs Coppin State Eagles W 69 - 63
2012-12-15 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 56 - 72
2012-12-19 vs Savannah State Tigers W 64 - 48
2012-12-22 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 54 - 82
2013-01-02 vs Delaware State Hornets L 51 - 53
2013-01-05 @ Ohio Bobcats L 57 - 94
2013-01-09 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 79 - 61
2013-01-12 @ UTEP Miners L 63 - 74
2013-01-19 vs East Carolina Pirates W 77 - 56
2013-01-23 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 46 - 102
2013-01-26 @ Memphis Tigers L 72 - 73
2013-01-30 vs SMU Mustangs L 57 - 68
2013-02-02 vs UCF Knights W 75 - 71
2013-02-06 @ Tulane Green Wave L 75 - 91
2013-02-09 @ UAB Blazers L 61 - 75
2013-02-13 vs Rice Owls W 71 - 70
2013-02-16 vs Memphis Tigers L 59 - 71
2013-02-20 @ UCF Knights W 82 - 70
2013-02-23 vs UAB Blazers L 48 - 52
2013-03-02 @ Houston Cougars L 76 - 103
2013-03-05 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 88 - 84
2013-03-09 @ East Carolina Pirates L 79 - 86
2013-03-13 @ Tulane Green Wave L 64 - 66

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elijah Pittman Elijah Pittman F 31 32.3 16.3 4.2 1.5 0.7 0.8 2.4 2.7 18.5 -81 20 -4.0 -5.3 47.0 35.1 74.4 0.48 248.2 54.8
DeAndre Kane DeAndre Kane G 28 37.1 15.1 4.4 7.0 1.8 0.2 4.2 2.2 22.1 -82 18 -4.6 -5.3 36.1 38.5 37.5 1.2 281.7 44.3
D.D. Scarver D.D. Scarver G 3 27.7 13.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 1.0 12.3 4.0 - - - - 37.8 44.4 80.0 - 51.0 48.6
D.D. Scarver D.D. Scarver - 31 26.1 11.7 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.8 1.9 12.6 - - - - 39.7 36.7 66.7 - 276.1 49.1
Dennis Tinnon Dennis Tinnon F 31 30.7 10.4 9.2 1.4 0.9 0.3 2.0 2.1 18.1 -58 20 -2.9 -4.1 46.9 41.7 63.6 3.2 217.8 50.8
Nigel Spikes Nigel Spikes C 31 24.7 5.6 7.3 0.5 0.7 1.9 1.5 0.8 13.8 -35 20 -1.8 -3.1 34.6 0.0 42.9 0.33 227.0 34.6
Robert Goff Robert Goff F 28 17.6 4.8 3.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.9 7.9 -139 19 -7.3 -17.5 45.8 0 23.1 -5.41 225.4 45.8
Jamir Hanner Jamir Hanner F 24 9.2 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.6 5.7 -41 13 -3.2 -19.3 60.0 0.0 38.5 -2.44 209.9 60.0
Chris Martin Chris Martin G 22 14.6 2.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.2 0.6 3.2 -49 12 -4.1 -14.9 7.7 0.0 0 -3.63 246.2 7.7
Kelvin Amayo Kelvin Amayo G 3 9.3 2.7 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 3.7 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.22 200.0 0.0
Tamron Manning Tamron Manning G 26 11.2 1.4 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 1.0 0.2 2.5 -53 19 -2.8 -11.6 33.3 50.0 75.0 -2.67 238.4 41.7
J.P. Kambola J.P. Kambola F 10 3.8 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.1 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 -1.62 212.8 100.0
DeVince Boykins DeVince Boykins G 21 10.3 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.5 -58 16 -3.6 -14.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 -3.09 110.8 40.0
Youssoupha Mbao Youssoupha Mbao C 13 5.6 0.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.3 15 8 1.9 16.4 0 0 0 2.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG