🐻⬇️🏀

Mars Hill

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Mars Hill
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 776 (#518) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 809 (#498) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 729 (#693) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -18.1 (#282) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -22.7 (#615) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.316 (#435) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.2 More → 0.997 (#66) NetEff +37.2
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -18.5 More → 0.071 (#404) NetEff -18.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#439) AdjNet -3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.412 (#442) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.444 (#448) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.119 (#688) AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 78.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.084 (#662) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.085 (#670) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 24 More → 690 (#508) RD 104 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Queens (NC) L 48 - 80
2025-11-14 vs Belmont Abbey L 60 - 72
2025-11-15 @ Southern Wesleyan W 98 - 77
2025-11-17 vs Clinton W 100 - 63
2025-11-19 vs Virginia-Lynchburg W 80 - 63
2025-11-25 @ Georgia College L 63 - 67
2025-11-29 @ Johnson C. Smith L 48 - 67
2025-12-03 vs Newberry W 70 - 65
2025-12-06 @ Anderson (SC) L 47 - 63
2025-12-13 vs Coker L 56 - 76
2025-12-14 @ Furman L 36 - 110
2025-12-17 vs Tusculum L 63 - 71
2025-12-20 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 78 - 111
2026-01-10 @ Wingate L 51 - 84
2026-01-14 @ Emory & Henry L 73 - 98
2026-01-17 vs Catawba L 60 - 75
2026-01-21 vs Carson-Newman L 63 - 87
2026-01-23 @ Newberry L 47 - 73
2026-01-28 @ UVA Wise L 59 - 106
2026-01-30 vs Anderson (SC) L 68 - 81
2026-02-04 vs Emory & Henry L 65 - 78
2026-02-07 @ Coker L 62 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Felesia Ondongo - 17 24.0 10.8 3.4 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.8 10.4 3.8 -89 -6.4 -19.7 33.5 31.9 79.4 -4.62 47.9 44.3
Makayla Street - 22 22.8 9.4 5.8 0.9 1.3 0.4 2.7 8.7 6.4 -32 -1.5 -7.2 39.3 29.3 57.7 3.24 45.9 42.4
Adrianna Gullette - 22 29.5 9.2 2.8 2.5 1.3 0.0 3.6 8.0 4.3 -187 -8.9 -36.9 32.0 25.7 71.3 1.2 45.0 34.6
Jadein Haynes - 22 23.1 7.2 5.3 1.0 0.9 0.4 2.0 7.1 5.7 -154 -7.3 -33.2 33.8 29.3 75.0 -3.23 45.2 40.8
Jadyiah Peoples - 22 27.5 7.0 4.0 2.2 2.0 0.2 4.0 7.5 4.0 -137 -6.5 -24.3 34.8 25.7 55.6 1.54 40.7 37.5
Kindan Dawson - 19 26.2 6.9 3.5 1.6 1.3 0.3 3.8 6.1 3.8 -31 -1.7 -8.4 36.5 39.5 59.3 -0.87 52.0 50.4
Stella McIntyre - 13 18.6 6.1 1.8 0.6 0.8 0.0 1.8 6.9 0.5 -92 -7.7 -67.0 27.8 26.8 76.9 0.43 41.3 38.3
Shyann McCummings - 22 14.1 6.0 3.7 0.2 1.1 0.0 1.5 4.2 5.4 -73 -3.5 -31.7 40.9 0 68.3 -0.57 51.1 40.9
Cecilee Silver - 20 11.6 2.5 1.6 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.9 0.3 -91 -4.8 -84.1 23.4 23.1 0 -4.59 33.1 33.1
Landyn Stewart - 10 13.9 2.2 3.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.5 2.9 -106 -10.6 -49.1 40.0 25.0 0.0 -5.87 43.2 44.0
Kamryn Sainvil - 16 7.8 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.1 1.8 1.0 -25 -1.7 -28.0 35.7 14.3 66.7 -1.29 42.2 37.5
Stylianna Mantzouris - 21 6.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.2 0.3 -22 -1.1 -23.9 19.1 8.7 78.9 -3.22 31.6 21.3
Peyton Caldwell - 9 3.6 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.7 -0.4 4 0.4 19.8 33.3 12.5 100.0 0.53 40.9 36.7
Madison Mickens - 5 2.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 -2 -0.5 -16.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.87 0.0 0.0
Leah Pergola - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG