Mars Hill
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 688 (#534) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 767 (#512) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 729 (#693) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.9 (#343) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.7 (#615) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.316 (#435) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#66) | NetEff +37.2 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.071 (#404) | NetEff -18.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.414 (#439) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.412 (#442) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.444 (#448) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.119 (#688) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.084 (#662) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.085 (#670) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 670 (#509) | RD 104 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Queens (NC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Belmont Abbey | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Clinton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Georgia College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Furman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Catawba | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felesia Ondongo | - | 16 | 24.9 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 10.6 | 4.1 | -89 | -6.4 | -19.7 | 34.9 | 33.0 | 80.0 | -1.81 | 49.4 | 46.2 |
| Makayla Street | - | 20 | 22.9 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.1 | 7.2 | -32 | -1.5 | -7.2 | 39.6 | 30.8 | 59.5 | 3.99 | 46.6 | 42.9 |
| Adrianna Gullette | - | 20 | 29.9 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 8.3 | 5.0 | -187 | -8.9 | -36.9 | 32.3 | 25.0 | 71.3 | 0.87 | 45.5 | 34.7 |
| Kindan Dawson | - | 17 | 27.2 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 4.8 | -31 | -1.7 | -8.4 | 38.3 | 41.9 | 59.3 | -3.18 | 54.3 | 52.8 |
| Jadyiah Peoples | - | 20 | 27.2 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | -137 | -6.5 | -24.3 | 38.3 | 27.6 | 58.0 | 0.72 | 44.5 | 41.1 |
| Jadein Haynes | - | 20 | 23.4 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -154 | -7.3 | -33.2 | 35.3 | 27.5 | 73.7 | -3.38 | 46.6 | 42.1 |
| Stella McIntyre | - | 11 | 18.4 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 0.2 | -92 | -7.7 | -67.0 | 25.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -2.85 | 38.6 | 35.4 |
| Shyann McCummings | - | 20 | 14.0 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 5.0 | -73 | -3.5 | -31.7 | 39.8 | 0 | 70.3 | 1.86 | 51.1 | 39.8 |
| Cecilee Silver | - | 18 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 0.4 | -91 | -4.8 | -84.1 | 25.0 | 23.7 | 0 | -2.27 | 35.3 | 35.3 |
| Landyn Stewart | - | 10 | 13.9 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.9 | -106 | -10.6 | -49.1 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -6.34 | 43.2 | 44.0 |
| Kamryn Sainvil | - | 14 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | -25 | -1.7 | -28.0 | 47.4 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -0.07 | 54.4 | 50.0 |
| Stylianna Mantzouris | - | 19 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | -22 | -1.1 | -23.9 | 16.3 | 0.0 | 78.9 | 1.87 | 28.2 | 16.3 |
| Peyton Caldwell | - | 7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | -0.6 | 4 | 0.4 | 19.8 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 1.17 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
| Madison Mickens | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -2 | -0.5 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Leah Pergola | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG