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Mars Hill

Also known as: Mars Hill
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 688 (#534) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 767 (#512) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 729 (#693) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -17.9 (#343) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -22.7 (#615) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.316 (#435) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.2 More → 0.997 (#66) NetEff +37.2
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -18.5 More → 0.071 (#404) NetEff -18.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#439) AdjNet -3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.412 (#442) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.444 (#448) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.119 (#688) AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 78.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.084 (#662) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.085 (#670) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 24 More → 670 (#509) RD 104 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Queens (NC) - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Belmont Abbey - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Southern Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 vs Clinton - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Virginia-Lynchburg - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Georgia College - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Johnson C. Smith - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Newberry - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Anderson (SC) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Coker - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 @ Furman - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Tusculum - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Lenoir-Rhyne - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Wingate - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Emory & Henry - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Catawba - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Carson-Newman - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 @ Newberry - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ UVA Wise - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Anderson (SC) - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Emory & Henry - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Coker - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Felesia Ondongo - 16 24.9 11.2 3.5 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.8 10.6 4.1 -89 -6.4 -19.7 34.9 33.0 80.0 -1.81 49.4 46.2
Makayla Street - 20 22.9 10.0 6.0 0.9 1.4 0.5 2.5 9.1 7.2 -32 -1.5 -7.2 39.6 30.8 59.5 3.99 46.6 42.9
Adrianna Gullette - 20 29.9 9.9 2.8 2.5 1.4 0.1 3.4 8.3 5.0 -187 -8.9 -36.9 32.3 25.0 71.3 0.87 45.5 34.7
Kindan Dawson - 17 27.2 7.6 3.8 1.6 1.4 0.3 3.6 6.3 4.8 -31 -1.7 -8.4 38.3 41.9 59.3 -3.18 54.3 52.8
Jadyiah Peoples - 20 27.2 7.2 3.6 2.2 2.1 0.2 4.0 7.0 4.5 -137 -6.5 -24.3 38.3 27.6 58.0 0.72 44.5 41.1
Jadein Haynes - 20 23.4 7.2 5.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 1.9 7.0 6.0 -154 -7.3 -33.2 35.3 27.5 73.7 -3.38 46.6 42.1
Stella McIntyre - 11 18.4 5.9 1.7 0.7 0.9 0.0 1.9 7.2 0.2 -92 -7.7 -67.0 25.3 25.0 75.0 -2.85 38.6 35.4
Shyann McCummings - 20 14.0 5.9 3.5 0.2 1.1 0.0 1.6 4.2 5.0 -73 -3.5 -31.7 39.8 0 70.3 1.86 51.1 39.8
Cecilee Silver - 18 10.6 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.8 0.4 -91 -4.8 -84.1 25.0 23.7 0 -2.27 35.3 35.3
Landyn Stewart - 10 13.9 2.2 3.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.5 2.9 -106 -10.6 -49.1 40.0 25.0 0.0 -6.34 43.2 44.0
Kamryn Sainvil - 14 7.1 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 1.4 1.7 -25 -1.7 -28.0 47.4 20.0 66.7 -0.07 54.4 50.0
Stylianna Mantzouris - 19 5.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.3 0.1 -22 -1.1 -23.9 16.3 0.0 78.9 1.87 28.2 16.3
Peyton Caldwell - 7 3.6 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 -0.6 4 0.4 19.8 20.0 16.7 100.0 1.17 32.2 25.0
Madison Mickens - 5 2.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 -2 -0.5 -16.8 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Leah Pergola - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG