Marian (WI)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 871 (#436) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 789 (#457) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.6 (#334) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.072 (#649) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.114 (#353) | NetEff -15.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.031 (#630) | AdjNet -29.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.028 (#629) | AdjNet -29.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.151 (#628) | AdjO 55.4 | AdjD 74.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Wis.-Superior | L | 44 - 73 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Dubuque | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | St. Scholastica | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Beloit | W | 51 - 50 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Aurora | L | 71 - 98 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 32 - 79 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Ripon | L | 47 - 83 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 28 - 70 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Lawrence | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 55 - 78 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Aurora | L | 42 - 67 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Lakeland | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 76 - 33 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 47 - 85 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Concordia Chicago | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Alverno | W | 90 - 75 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Edgewood | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Rockford | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | MSOE | L | 31 - 71 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Lakeland | L | 54 - 66 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexi Brakebush | - | 25 | 29.3 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 21 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 37.8 | 39.7 | 76.6 | 0.22 | 52.4 | 46.6 |
| Chelsea King | - | 24 | 25.2 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 34.5 | 27.0 | 63.0 | -0.17 | 43.7 | 39.8 |
| Lyla Bartol | - | 25 | 25.5 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 21 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 32.4 | 24.0 | 52.6 | 0.12 | 39.5 | 38.0 |
| Imani Ninham | - | 25 | 18.3 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 2.2 | -25 | -1.0 | -1.6 | 37.5 | 33.8 | 77.8 | -0.13 | 48.0 | 46.7 |
| Mckayla Goebel | - | 2 | 21.0 | 4.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.11 | 24.1 | 12.5 |
| Taj Hanserd | - | 23 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | -12 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 30.0 | 17.6 | 80.0 | -0.38 | 38.5 | 33.3 |
| Kaylee Nowak | - | 22 | 15.0 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 47.9 | 16.7 | 55.0 | 0.09 | 52.6 | 49.0 |
| Emily Eastham | - | 25 | 14.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | -9 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 30.3 | 16.7 | 60.9 | -0.05 | 36.6 | 32.2 |
| Taycee Schwanke | - | 25 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | -0.0 | -13 | -0.4 | -1.1 | 32.7 | 29.6 | 85.7 | -0.48 | 45.8 | 40.0 |
| Nyedeng Awak | - | 25 | 16.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 19 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 37.2 | 0.0 | 64.9 | -0.48 | 47.2 | 37.2 |
| Ryleigh Woodson | - | 20 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | -19 | -0.8 | -4.2 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 0.16 | 28.7 | 27.3 |
| Adriana Jelle | - | 13 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 32.7 | 25.0 |
| Christina Moyle | - | 11 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 17.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 17.6 | 17.6 |
| Taylor Ptacek | - | 24 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.9 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 0.06 | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| Brianna Guelig | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Amaya Gianneschi | - | 12 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG